Browsing articles in "Profitly"

Introducing the best new finance app

Jun 29, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Announcements, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Introducing the best new finance app

Profitly finally has its own app that you can download for free in the app store! Now it is easier than ever to stay on top of the market and who is making money. You can easily access your Profitly subscriptions, go into the chatrooms, take a look at the guru’s latest watchlists, and even access the video lessons we are constantly uploading in order for you to become a better trader!

Here are a few screenshots:
This is what it will look like in the app store for iTunes users.
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This is an example of what the chatrooms will look like. We wanted to make sure it was extremely easy to send out a message right from your phone and keep track of which stocks are the biggest movers that everyone is keeping an eye on. You can also find out why those stocks are moving by looking at what others are saying in the chat or asking someone as well. Maybe you’ve even spotted a mover before anyone else and you want to point it out and get more details before you jump in. There might have been a mailer promotion sent out that you hadn’t heard about or maybe the company just beat on its latest earnings report. This tool is especially useful for traders that are just starting out. You can ask questions and get other subscribers opinions before making a trade, essentially increasing your odds of making a good trade and profiting from it.

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This is an example of what the sidebar will look like once you log in. You can click on the newsletter you are subscribed to and get the latest information sent out to the users by the guru. This could be watch lists, video lessons, or other learning tools that the guru feels like their subscribers need to see.

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This is what the screen will look like when you click on a note that was sent out with a video lesson. Learning tools are now right at your fingertips. You could be taking the train home from work or sitting on an airplane traveling for a vacation and you can still easily access the important video lessons that all of our gurus send out on a frequent basis. There are no longer any excuses for falling behind on what’s going on in the markets or not taking the time to learn more about trading on a daily basis.

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This app just launched so we only have one review right now, but it’s a great one! Check it out and then download the app and let us know what you think by giving us a review as well!

Great App! by Da Medic

I’ve been a Challenge Student for approximately three months now. I utilize my iPhone for just about everything and anything. I can’t express how great and practical this App is to have on my phone. I’m ecstatic it was created for us. It goes to show how much Tim Sykes and his team care about the Challenge Students. Thanks!

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Three

Jun 27, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Three

We started a new series on Profitly last week covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting. For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS). But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades. Then we covered Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit by shorting the Kiwi (New Zealand Dollar) in the late 80’s and then Jim Rogers’ prediction of the long term bull market in commodities. We’ll cover yet another two great trades in this post. First we have a trade by the very well known George Soros, who Tim did a profile on just a week or so ago. This guy shorted the British pound and made $1 billion. Yes, we have now headed into the billion dollar range, not just millions anymore. His face probably looked something like this when he found out how much he made. Soros-George-bugeyedmonster Back in the 90s when Britain was thriving, not only did George Soros short the pound, he borrowed heavily to do so. This was when pound was being traded on a fixed exchange rate. Soon after Soros’s short bet, the British government realized that it would loose billions if it continued to artificially prop up the pound. They withdrew from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism, and the pound plummeted. This short bet bagged Soros at least $1 billion, elevating him to ‘brilliant billionaire investor’ status. This is the equivalent of roughly $1.8 billion today! g_soros Next up we have Stanley Druckenmiller’s bet on the German mark that made $1 billion. During the same time that George Soros was shorting the pound, Stanley Druckenmiller, who was then employed by Soros’s Quantum fund, was betting on the German mark. Before the Berlin Wall fell, the reunification of East and West Germany seems like so mammoth a task that the German mark was depressed to an extreme level. Initially Druckenmiller put several million into a bet that the mark would rally, but later, on Soros’s say-so, he increased his purchase to about $2 billion (I guess Soros lives by the saying “go big or go home! Good thing he is smart enough to get away with it). The mark rallied, and Druckenmiller made the fund $1 billion. Since it was during the same time period, the inflation adjustment is still the same and it is equivalent to $1.8 billion today. Now he’s all like “ha, ya, I did make that much. Come at me bro!” MI-BF357_DRUCKE_G_20100818174413 As we pointed out in the previous posts, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me. We still aren’t finished covering these amazing trades either! The series will continue with part four very soon.

Weekly Roundup June 16-20

Jun 24, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup June 16-20

Time for another weekly roundup! Our gurus and their students are stilling making huge profits despite the low volatility in the general market!

First we’ll talk about Superman! He had another great week. First is a $9,350 profit on IGC. He bought 20,000 shares on June 2nd at $1.45 and sold them on the 20th at $1.92. Entry comments: SWING – Read first – positioning for potential marijuana PR that last press release alluded to. Wanted to get lower seems like low 1.30’s bottom….personal stop loss low 1’s…personal target 2 plus depending on news if and when it comes out. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE – may go higher and will watch action and keep on watch.

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Then we have a $2,000 profit on GASS. He bought 10,000 shares on the 18th at $10.50 and sold them on the 19th at $10.70. Entry comments: SWING – Sector is on FIRE.. GLNG GLOG GLOP…one of only others that transport LNG personal stop loss low 10’s and personal target 11-2 plus if it works. Exit comments: may go higher taking scalp for now.

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Next is a $10,262 profit on EPE. He bought 5,000 shares on the 4th at $20.09 and sold them on the 16th at $22.15. Entry comments: SWING – personal stop loss 19.6 area and personal target 20.5-21 plus if it works Exit comments: Super Trade Will revisit on dips

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Fourth is a $2,870 profit on STV. This was another buy. He took in 7,000 shares on the 16th at $4.39 and sold them that same day at $4.80. Entry comments: TRADE DO NOT CHASE personal stop 4.15 area personal target 4.75 plus if works. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE WAY TO START OFF WEEK FROM WATCH LIST !!!!!

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Then we have two losses to talk about. First is a $1,350 loss on GLRI. He bought 5,000 shares on the 17th at $11.75 and sold them the same day at $11.48. Entry comments: TRADE / SWING personal stop loss low 11’s or 4ema and personal target 12.5 plus if it works. Exit comments: may still work and revisit.

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Lastly there was a $1,950 loss on ENG. He bought 15,000 shares on the 9th at $3.95 and sold them on the 16th at $3.82. Entry comments: at airport just got wifi 4ema personal stop loss 4.5-5 plus if it works. Exit comments: May still work but taking long will keep on watch.

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Next up is Tim, who had 0 notable losses and 3 big winners worth talking about.

First is a $1,521 profit on CMCM. He bought 4,600 shares on the 17th at $23 and sold them the same day at $23.37. Entry comments: Re-bought as this keeps breaking out to new highs, gonna try to make 50-75 cents/share, AWESOME price action! Exit comments: Now 23.46, $1/share above where I bought earlier today, can’t help but take profits this is wayyyyyyy too quick but congrats to everyone on this.

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Secondly we have a $1,589 profit on MEET. He bought 10,000 shares on the 12th at $1.98 and sold them on the 18th at $2.14. Entry comments: Solid news of record traffic on their chat app, very Whatsapp-like, stock beaten down, former runner, goal is to make 15-30% over a few days/weeks, limited risk given the stock having been crushed the past few weeks, right sector…already spiked to 2+ today so I’m buying on intraday dip, I think this news has legs, we’ll see. Exit comments: Got up to 2.40 premarket on news of an analyst upgrade, but this stock has so many bagholders, I’m lucky to escape with a 10% profit…the secondary spike was predictable after last week’s great mobile chat news, but this price action is disappointing so I’m out…congrats to all longs, no way to lose $ on this.

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Lastly we have a $1,337 profit on CMCM. He bought 6,100 shares on the 17th at $22.54 and sold them that same day at $22.81. Entry comments: Buying small speculative position on this hot mobile stock breaking out to new highs above 22.50, nice 20 cent/share dip off day highs I’m buying on, quiet period ends today so expect some overnight news, goal is to sell in the 23s or even 24s in 1-2 days. Exit comments: Made nearly 40 cents/share which is solid for a speculative trade even though it’s a high priced stock…this one usually dips after big spikes so I’m not taking chances, might re-buy it before the market close for potential gap/spike but we gotta see how it finishes first, for now taking decent profits.

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Don’t forget to check up the previous roundups here:

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16

May 19-May 23

May 27-May 30

June 2-June 6

June 9-June 13

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Two

Jun 20, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Two

We started a new series on Profitly last week covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades.

We’ll cover two more trades in this post. First up is Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit. You probably didn’t think we could get profits even larger than the $100 million discussed last week, but this guy made three times that! How? He shorted the Kiwi in the late 80s and made $300 million. And get this, that $300 million is the equivalent of $626 million when adjusted for inflation!

In 1987, just after the Black Monday crash investors dumped the U.S. dollar and rushed into other currencies. Andy Krieger, a the 32-year-old currency trader at Banker’s Trust, guessed that the New Zealand dollar, also know as the ‘Kiwi’, was dangerously overvalued. Using options, which were a relatively new financial instrument at the time, Krieger took up a short position against the Kiwi worth millions of dollars. So much so that his sell orders actually exceeded the New Zealand money supply. The kiwi yo-yoed between a 3 – 5 percent loss and netted Kreiger’s employers about $300 million. Krieger got a $3 million bonus out of the deal.

Next up we have the well-known Jim Rogers. He went long on commodities when they were cheap in the late 90s. Back in the 1990’s, where commodities were still in long bear market, Jim Rogers saw the bull market coming from a mile away and created the Rogers International Commodity Index.

This index has consistently returned 209% since 1998, although commodities haven’t done that well lately, and Rogers expects that this market is only going to get more bullish as paper assets start to become worthless. We don’t have an exact profit amount for this trade, but what’s really impressive about this is that he accurately called the bottom of the market that’s gone on to rally for more than a decade.

As we pointed out last time, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me.

And get ready for the rest of this great series. Did you really think these trading profits were as high as we could go? Ha, just wait until you see some of the other trades we have coming up! They will blow you away.

Weekly Roundup June 9-13

Jun 17, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup June 9-13

Time for another weekly roundup! Our gurus and their students continued to make bank heading into the summer trading sessions!

Let’s start out with Tim who was trading from Bora Bora this week! First we have a $2,703 profit on SUMR. Tim bought 10,000 shares on the 4th at $2.87 and sold them on the 9th at $3.15. Entry comments: Bought this earnings winner on the dip as I said in watch list, goal is to sell in the mid 3s or even 4s in a few days/weeks, good risk/reward here. Exit comments: Solid 10% gain in less than a week on this slow moving earnings winner, might keep going as it’s now 3.18 and climbing but I’m playing this one safe, congrats guys, NO way to lose $ on this one.

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Then we have a $2,040 profit on ZIXI. Tim bought 17,000 shares at $3.50 on the 9th and sold them later that day at $3.62. Entry comments: Dip bought this app security play, multi-day breakout above 3.45, very QUIK-like before it spiked big, goal is to sell in the high 3s later this week, not a fast mover, but solid chart pattern…speculative given no specific news though. Exit comments: Nice gradual rise, probably playing it too safe, but no specific catalyst and I’d have to be on my game at 3:30am here in Bora Bora, no thanks, taking small profits, 100% cash short-term going into tomorrow.

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Last we have a $1,693 profit on MEET. Tim bought 35,000 shares on the 12th at $1.98 and sold them the same day at $2.03. Entry comments: Solid news of record traffic on their chat app, very Whatsapp-like, stock beaten down, former runner, goal is to make 10-20%, also bought some long term for larger goals, limited risk given the stock having been crushed the past few weeks, right sector…already spiked to 2+ today so I’m buying on intraday dip, I think this news has legs, we’ll see. Exit comments: Got a little spike from the news, but not as much as I wanted or expected, now down trending, going nowhere fast, I’ll hold my long term position, playing it safe otherwise.

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See that he didn’t have any notable losses this week? Nice work!

Then we have Superman who had some crazy trades this week! There were a lot of big profits for both him and his subscribers. First we have a $7,899 profit on GRH. He bought 30,000 shares on the 10th at $1.29 and sold them on the 13th at $1.55. Entry comments: CHART – tracking play they deal with water…nice rev growth and EBITDA positive last q…selling non-core assets to clean gal sheet up…… personal stop loss 4ema and personal target is 1.50-2 plus if it works. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE may go higher will look for pullback for re-entry at 4ema.

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Next is a $4,000 profit on WLDN. He bought 10,000 shares on the 4th at $7.10 and sold them on the 13th at $7.50. Entry comments: CHART – energy efficiency consulting – nice report and said growth this year..did .17 q1 2014 and did .36 for all of 2013 ….with QRHC and SYPR this is another nice chart…4ema personal stop loss and 7.75 – 8 plus personal target if it works. Exit comments: super trade !! will revisit and watch chart.

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Check out this next trade! He had a $39,930 profit on AMOT! He bought 17,000 shares on May 15th at $12.42 and sold them on June 9th at $14.76.

Entry comments: SWING DO NOT CHASE !! – One of the better earnings report and situation like FONR where merger made them stronger – electronic motion control…personal stop loss high 11’s and target 13-17 if it gains attention and works. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE – Going to track chart for re-entry ….do not think it is over yet but booking gains and will look for re-entry.

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Fourth we have a $2,150 loss on MMYT. He bought 5,000 shares on May 28th at $26.50 and sold them on June 10th at $26.07.

Entry comments: CHART 2-3 day rest pattern …personal stop loss 4ema area personal target 27+ if it works. Exit comments: have given this enough time and will watch for re-entry.

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Lastly we have a $4,869 loss on PME. He bought 23,000 shares on March 11 at $3.50 and sold them on June 13th at $3.29.

Entry comments: TRADE / SWING did big eps for year and guided to almost $1 for 2014…..personal stop loss low 3’s…personal target 4 plus. Exit comments: may still work ……not crazy about related party stuff and taking too long anyway..point here is original call was 3.5 and it went over 4 THREE times and i should have done better job with rules…will keep on watch.

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Last but not least we have InvestorsLive! First is a $2,160 profit on GOGO. He shorted 10,000 shares of this stock on the 10th at $19.21 and bought them back later in the day at $18.99.

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Next we have a $1,951 profit on ACHN. He shorted 10,000 shares of this stock on the 11th at $7.35 and bought them back later in the day at $7.15.

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Third we have a $3,179 profit on PVCT. He shorted 77,685 shares of this stock at $1.36 on the 12th and bought them back the next day at $1.31.

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Fourth we have a $3,841 profit on GERN. He shorted 34,000 shares of this stock on the 13th at $3.11 and bought them back that same day at $2.99.

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Then we have one notable loss to talk about: a $1,173 loss on ACHN. He bought 12,000 shares of this stock on the 13th at $6.59 and sold them that same day at $6.50. Not bad since he cuts hit losses quickly.

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Don’t forget to check up the previous roundups here:

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16

May 19-May 23

May 27-May 30

June 2-June 6

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time

Jun 13, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time

Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are about to look at. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First is Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit. How did he make more than 99.9% of people do in a lifetime in ONE trade? He shorted the 1929 stock market crash, that’s how. As one of the first notable short-sellers in the history of the U.S. stock market, he first shorted stocks on a hunch that preceded the San Francisco earthquake. Though he really couldn’t have foreseen the quake itself, the trade bagged him $250,000, and gave him a taste for short-selling. He then shorted the 1907 market crash and made $1 million. Then he made $3 million shorting wheat in 1925. Those trades look miniscule compared to the $100 million one though. He joined the big leagues when correctly predicted the 1929 crash, and shorted the entire market. Keep in mind that $100 million in 1929 terms is the equivalent of $1.38 BILLION in today’s dollars. This guy is so great that his trading story is the basis for the fictional book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.”

Then we have Paul Tudor Jones who made an estimated $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987 and shorted the stock market. The equivalent in today’s dollars is roughly $208.7 million. Using technical analysis and historical S&P data, Jones correctly predicted that the market was going to crash in 1987, and proceeded to massively short stocks.

The Dow plunged 22%, and estimates put his gains from that trade at around $100 million. Shortly after he did so, PBS released a documentary about Jones, titled Trader. Jones bought almost all the copies of the movie as soon as it was released—he didn’t want anyone seeing it. There’s some speculation that Jones hated the documentary because he felt it gave away his trade secrets. Or that he just didn’t like how he looked when he was trading. The documentary was leaked on YouTube a few years ago and you can supposedly download it as well.

Did you notice a trend? Both of these guys made their biggest trades when they predicated a stock market crash, which is extremely hard to do. If it wasn’t so hard, more people would have been able to predict it and everything would have turned out differently. You’d also have people going on TV every 3 seconds giving the details of where exactly the market is going rather than talking around the questions and just promoting themselves and the stocks they are invested in. Even now with the stock market at all-time highs, people talk about corrections, but no one is able to say what level it will crash at or on a what specific day. That’s part of the reason people like Tim stick to looking at technical patterns on smaller stocks that are more volatile—they don’t have to time the trade perfectly to make a lot of money. If they did time it perfectly, they may be on this list.

The Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then.

Weekly Roundup June 2-6

Jun 9, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup June 2-6

Time for another weekly roundup! Our gurus and their students continued to make bank heading into the summer trading sessions!

Let’s start off with Superman who had some super trades, as usual!

We’ll begin with a $12,500 profit on VTL. He bought 5,000 shares on the 5th at $14.95 and sold the next day at $17.45. Entry comments: DO NOT CHASE THIN – From Super Pro IPO Tracker video …. product in trials to cause liver to heal itself or stabilize while waiting of transport…..analysts have targets 20-28 personal stop loss 14 area and personal target 15-20 if it works SWING starter position. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE.

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Second we have another big profit, $11,250 profit on RIBT. He bought 15,000 shares on May 16 at $5.90 and sold at $6.65 on the 4th. Entry comments: SWING – starter position may add on a dip……personal stop loss 5 area and personal target 6-8 if it works..wanted to get through report and guidance very strong and gluten free nonGMO play want some exposure. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE – will let the dust settle as i did not anticipate today’s news and will look for re-entry.

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Next up is a $3,050 profit on QRHC. He bought 5,000 shares on the 2nd at $4.98 and sold the next day at $5.59. Entry comments: Chart – 4ema personal stop and personal target 4.5 plus…. small position need to find more info here. Exit comments: SUPER -TRADE – may very well go higher but RSI 90’s and spike above 4ema…will keep on watch.

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Then we have a $2,190 profit on VIPS. Superman bought 1,000 shares on the 30th of last month at $162.07 and sold at $164.26. Entry comments: third time buying this on dip…made 10k so far..personal stop 160 area…personal target 164 plus if it works TRADE/SWING. Exit comments: third profitable trade on this will watch for re-entry 160-16q on market dips.

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Then we have InvestorsLive. Not so much trading but some profits were made none the less.

First is a $343 profit on GTAT. He shorted 1,000 shares on the 2nd at $16.75 and bought them back the same day at $16.40.

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Then there was a $742 profit on GIGA. he shorted 4,000 shares on the 2nd at $3.37 and bought them back later in the day at $3.18.

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We do have one notable loss to talk about. He lost $4,493 on MNKD. He shorted 25,000 shares at $9.13 on the 3rd and about them back later in the day at $9.30.

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Next was a $2,214 profit on LIVE. Tim shorted 30,000 shares on the 2nd at $4.47 and bought them back the same day at $4.38. Entry comments: Shorting near the open for probable morning crash, once 4.50 goes it’s a goner, goal is to cover in low 4s or even high 3s, gotta be fast, beware of morning spikes though. Exit comments: Blehhh got a little panic to the 4.20s, then shorts covering, not worth my staying in given this stock’s ability to spike in the morning, potential re-short, but playing it safe here.

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Then we have a $2,380 profit on LIVE. Tim shorted this stock twice, this time was a 17,000 position at $4.27 and buying it back at $4.13. Entry comments: Re-short as its down-trending, terrible I covered earlier, probly gonna crack through 4 today. Exit comments: No big breakdown, annoying stock, but solid downside from 4.50 hopefully we get a bounce that’s shortable again.

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Lastly we have Tim who didn’t do a lot of trading but had plenty of big winners!

First is an $1,832 profit on SUMR. Tim bought 10,000 shares of this stock at $2.87 on the 4th and sold later that day at $3.05. Entry comments: Bought this earnings winner on the dip as I said in watch list, goal is to sell in the mid 3s in the next few days, remember how fast it can spike. Exit comments: Got a nice secondary spike, best case scenario for my short-term, still holding long term, +$2k makes me feel nice, congrats guys, nothing huge, but still useful.

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Next was a $2,933 profit on GBLX. Tim shorted 30,000 shares on the 4th at $2.28 and bought them back the next day at $2.16. Entry comments: Re-shorting this blatant pump as it collapses, shorting on decent, goal is to cover into panic tomorrow under 2, ideally the mid to high 1s, CLASSIC http://tim.ly/sykestrades setup here, my high net worth broker has shares to short. Exit comments: Didn’t get the big crack below 2 I wanted, maybe later today, but I’m not risking it since it has bounced big in the past.

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Then we have a $3,053 loss on LIVE. Tim shorted 20,000 shares at $4.13 and bought them back at $4.24. Entry comments: Shorting on lack of gap up, no SSR, if it crack 4 I wanna cover in the mid to high 3s. Exit comments: Lost $3k gotta cut losses, didn’t get the crack of 4.10 that I needed, playing it safe as this stock can spike as we all know, be careful shorts, video lesson coming.

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Don’t forget to check up the previous roundups here:

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16

May 19-May 23

May 27-May 30

Weekly Roundup May 27-30

Jun 6, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup May 27-30

Time for another weekly roundup! Even though the general markets were slow leading up to Memorial Day Weekend, our gurus and their students still make bank!

First up we have Tim, who is up more than $40,000 this month alone. That’s more than the median ANNUAL income for many households!

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First we’ll talk about a $3,283 profit on LIVE. Tim shorted 12,000 shares of this stock on the 28th at $5.20 and covered later in the day at $4.95. Entry comments: Speculative short after huuuuuuge run up, superior risk/reward. Exit comments: NICE quick drop, will do video lesson.

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Next up we have a $3,265 profit on WATT. Tim bought 3,677 shares on the 28th at $11 and sold that same day at $11.95. Entry comments: Bought small position on joint venture news with bigtime smartphone case maker, should run into company presentations at conferences tomorrow & next week, speculative though so be careful, don’t chase wildly. Exit comments: NAILED this WATT spike, nice $1/share winner, makes up for my poor LIVE trading.

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Then we have two losses to talk about. First is a $11,377 loss on LIVE. Tim shorted 49,000 shares at $3.78 and covered the next day at $4.02. Entry comments: Shorted LIVE into minor bounce, missed out on 60 cents/share by playing it too safe earlier, should still tank much more too as people discover it’s nothing but a pump. Exit comments: Covered all for another annoying loss, but the promoters played this well, protecting the stock with another useless PR this morning, not telling how high they’ll spike it, gotta play it safe, cut losses quickly.

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Lastly we have a $7,430 loss on LIVE. Tim shorted 26,500 shares on the 29th at $4.70 and covered at $4.87. Entry comments: Chart is now broken, goal is to make 30-50 cents/share, wish I’d been more aggressive but this stock is scaryyyyy. Exit comments: Not cracking playing it safe to avoid squeeze.

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Next and last we have Superman (InvestorsLive is taking a much deserved vacation this week). This guy is SUPER. Up nearly $200,000 in the past MONTH.

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First we have a $5,200 profit on VIPS. Superman bought 1,000 shares on the 23rd at $162.30 and sold them on the 28th at $167.50. Entry comments: personal stop loss 159 area …personal target 165 plus for Alibbaba IPO. Exit comments: ANOTHER 5K TRADE IN VIPS FOR THE 2ND TIME #SUPERTRADE #STRESSFREE.

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Next we have a $5,150 profit on SPEX. He bought 7,000 shares on the 27th at $3.35 and sold them the next day at $4.09. Entry comments: TRADE – personal stop loss low 3’s and personal target 3.55+ potential gaper on Cramer mention. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE overnight 5k !!! will re-visit on pullbacks if there is one.

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Then we have a $2,800 profit on WATT. He bought 4,000 shares of this stock on the 28th at $11.60 and sold them the same day at $12.30. Entry comments: CHART nice news today 4ema personal stop and personal target 12+ if it works….Exit comments: super trade ! love the news, the company and the tech…going to take the profit for now and watch how it handles this move above the 4ema….will definitely keep on radar.

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He had another profit of $2,550 on TGEN. He bought 2,000 shares on the 28th at $11.70 and sold them the same day at $12.98. Entry comments: DO NOT CHASE – SMALL position TRADE recent low float IPO runner…personal stop loss 4ema and personal target 12.5 + if it works. Exit comments: super trade right from the SUPER PRO video this morning.

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We do have a loss to talk about too. He lost $10,540 on KANG. Superman bought 20,000 shares on April 9th at $15.70 and sold on May 30th at $15.18. Entry comments: SWING – New IPO small position personal stop loss $0.50-$1 or so on starter position …….personal target 17-20 plus if it works. Exit comments: this may very well still work but being i traded it terribly and was once down huge I am happy to get out with a much smaller loss……will watch it going forward.

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Here are previous roundup posts to help you learn how to trade!

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16

May 19-May 23

 

The Great Search For Yield

Jun 1, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Market, Profitly, Risks  //  Comments Off on The Great Search For Yield

There has been a great search for yield following the financial crisis. Investors were scared to get back into the stock market but were also hesitant to earn a very low yield on their safer investments such as bonds due to the low interest rates by the Fed.

In 2013, Stocks jumped on the first day of trading in January and didn’t go negative for the ENTIRE YEAR. They went up a historic 30% (still less than I or the other Profitly gurus earn) and finished the year at a new record high.

What drove this? It was mainly investors rebalancing their outrageously lopsided portfolios after five years of the fear I addressed earlier. Flows into equity funds went positive in 2013 while money only trickled into bond funds.

2014 has shown a pause in this movement, however. Bond inflows are ahead of equity inflows year-to-date (reverse of last year). This means that the longer-term move into bonds and out of stocks, is still enormous even though stocks gained ground last year. There has been $1.2 trillion into fixed income funds since 2006 versus a negative $800 billion pulled from stock funds.

However, fund flow data since the beginning of 2013 shows that investors have been rotating from bonds into equities. Equities have had $298 billion in inflows since January 2013, while fixed income has had only $75 billion. But bond flows have picked up this year with inflows of $71 billion vs. $46 billion for equities.

The first chart below is the cumulative flows – stock funds versus bond flows – going back to 2006. You can see a drastic preference for “safety” that is so large, even last year’s enthusiasm barely dents it:

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The second chart shows close-up on this year’s interruption of the Rotation:

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Images and argument via The Reformed Broker.

So, to better understand this movement, let’s define what a bond is. Investopedia has a fantastic definition and example:

“A debt investment in which an investor loans money to an entity (corporate or governmental) that borrows the funds for a defined period of time at a fixed interest rate. Bonds are used by companies, municipalities, states and U.S. and foreign governments to finance a variety of projects and activities.

Bonds are commonly referred to as fixed-income securities and are one of the three main asset classes, along with stocks and cash equivalents.

The indebted entity (issuer) issues a bond that states the interest rate (coupon) that will be paid and when the loaned funds (bond principal) are to be returned (maturity date). Interest on bonds is usually paid every six months (semi-annually). The main categories of bonds are corporate bonds, municipal bonds, and U.S. Treasury bonds, notes and bills, which are collectively referred to as simply ‘Treasuries.’

Two features of a bond – credit quality and duration – are the principal determinants of a bond’s interest rate. Bond maturities range from a 90-day Treasury bill to a 30-year government bond. Corporate and municipals are typically in the three to 10-year range.”

Bonds aren’t the first thing that people tend to think of when they talk about investing. Most people think about stocks, which is what I and the other gurus trade. Perhaps older individuals think more about bonds, since they are viewed as safer and financial advisors often tell people to weight their portfolio more towards bonds as they get older and approach retirement.

But the general public thinks of stocks and the potential for a big return. Stocks are more exciting, so who can blame them! Bonds are also pushed to the side during a bull market (hence the data regarding the great rotation in the beginning of this post). There is also the fact that bonds have some weird jargon that goes with them.

But all it takes is a bear market to make investors run for bonds and the “safe investment.”

So here is just a basic lesson in bonds. First, know that a bond is simply a type of loan taken out by companies. Say you take out a bond in GM. This means that you are lending GM money. In exchange, you will get a “coupon” or interest payment on that bond. These payments come in set intervals. But wait, you can give GM money when you buy their stock, right? The difference is that when you buy GM’s stock, you are buying a portion of equity while when you buy GM bonds, you are buying a portion of debt.

There are a few terms of bonds that you need to familiarize yourself with, as not all bonds are created equal. First is the maturity. This is the date when the principal on the bond will be paid to investors and the company’s bond obligation will end. For example, you can buy a GM bond that matures in 2015, and then in 2015, you get the principal investment back and GM no longer owes you those coupon payments.

The second is Secured vs. Unsecured. Bonds that are unsecured are called debentures; their interest payments and return of principal are guaranteed only by the credit of the issuing company. If the company fails, you may get little of your investment back. A secured bond is one in which specific assets are pledged to bondholders if the company cannot repay the obligation.

A third term is coupon. We addressed this briefly earlier, but it’s the amount of interest paid to bondholders, (normally annually or semiannually).

Fourth is the tax status of the bond. Most corporate bonds are taxable, but some government and especially municipal bonds are exempt from taxes, which essentially increases your return.  But these bonds also typically have lower interest than equivalent taxable bonds, evening it out a bit.

It is also important to point out that bonds are not risk free. There is a credit/default risk, prepayment risk, and interest rate risk. the default risk is that interest and your principal payment will not be made. The prepayment risk is that the given bond issue will be paid off earlier than expected. Why is this bad? Well, the company only has an incentive to repay the obligation early when interest rates have declined substantially…meaning that instead of continuing to hold a high interest investment, investors are left to reinvest funds in a lower interest rate environment. This leads us to interest rate risk. This is the risk that interest rates will change meaningfully from what you expected when you made the investment. If they significantly decline, the you face the possibility of prepayment. If interest rates increase, you will be stuck with an instrument yielding below what you could be making in a similar bond that was just issued later at a higher rate. The longer the maturity on the bond, the greater the risk.

One thing that often confuses people and business students learn in finance 101 is that yield moves inversely to price. Yield is the figure that shows the return you get on a bond. The simplest version of yield is calculated using the following formula: yield = the coupon amount/price. When you buy a bond at par, yield is equal to the interest rate. When the price changes, so does the yield.

Investopedia gives a great example of this.

“If you buy a bond with a 10% coupon at its $1,000 par value, the yield is 10% ($100/$1,000). Pretty simple stuff. But if the price goes down to $800, then the yield goes up to 12.5%. This happens because you are getting the same guaranteed $100 on an asset that is worth $800 ($100/$800). Conversely, if the bond goes up in price to $1,200, the yield shrinks to 8.33% ($100/$1,200).”

Sounds simple and you are probably wondering why people get confused, right? Well, this is more complicated in everyday life. When bond investors refer to yield, they are usually referring to yield to maturity (YTM). This is a more advanced yield calculation that shows the total return you will receive if you hold the bond to maturity. It equals all the interest payments you will receive (and assumes that you will reinvest the interest payment at the same rate as the current yield on the bond) plus any gain (if you purchased at a discount) or loss (if you purchased at a premium).

I’m not going to dive deep into how to calculate YTM, just know that it’s the more accurate way for  you to compare bonds with different maturities and coupons.

In conclusion, think of it this way: the relationship of yield to price can be summarized as when price goes up, yield goes down and vice versa. How can high yields and high prices both be good when they can’t happen at the same time? The answer depends on your point of view. If you are a bond buyer, you want high yields. A buyer wants to pay $800 for the $1,000 bond, which gives the bond a high yield of 12.5%. On the other hand, if you already own a bond, you’ve locked in your interest rate, so you hope the price of the bond goes up and then you can cash out in the future.

Weekly Roundup May 19-23

May 27, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup May 19-23

Time for another weekly roundup! Even though the general markets were slow leading up to Memorial Day Weekend, our gurus and their students still make bank!

We’ll start with Tim again. First up we have a $2,427 profit on MEDL. Sykes bought 142,500 shares at $0.20 on the 19th and sold them the same day at $0.22. Entry comments: Rebought MEDL on new rumors of new Facebook video app called Slingshot http://tim.ly/1mNbHWv remember MEDL’s CEO letter a few weeks ago said they’re working with FB on a new technology, this is EXACTLY what MEDL does with Hangwith.com. More traders will put this together & MEDL could finally be set up to run, I still have my longterm position but this is SPECULATIVE as no news will likely be announced for days if not weeks. But lowly microcaps can run 30-50-100% on rumors so I like my odd…Exit comments: Sold remaining shares, disappointing but rumor plays are tough and MEDL ALWAYS fails to hold its spikes…still holding small longterm position though as any day their actual Facebook news might spike this big time…potential re-buy also if it dips enough today or this week.

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Next we have a massive $22,072 profit on QUIK. Tim bought 54,500 shares of this stock at $3.82 on the 16th and sold them at $4.22 on the 19th, holding over the weekend.  Entry comments: Speculatively buying this multi-day breakout above 3.65, gapped up strongly today & now big buyers near day highs, reading this post http://tim.ly/1iTa4Re makes me think we might see Samsung announcement next week, I also bought some longterm as I read conference call notes, earnings miss was due to inventory issues, nothing major going forward, goal is to sell short-term at resistance of $4ish, hopefully it spikes into the market close, 30-50 cents upside, 10-15 downside, SPECULATIVE. Exit comments: Didn’t get the Samsung news I wanted for a bigger spike, but the weekend Seeking Alpha article pumped the stock price up a solid 15%, could run more, but tons of sellers already premarket 4.30-4.60…really wanted to sell 4.50 or more, but other sellers prevented that so I will take what the market will give me…potential re-buy but not gonna be aggressive here with this ugly longer term chart…might really run like EKSO/YOD all day or more likely fade like WATT did.

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Then we have a $3,707 profit on TMMI. He bought 150,000 shares of this stock on the 21st at $0.19 and sold them the same day at $0.22. Entry comments: Bought this unknown video compression play on partnership news with $30 billion Raytheon today http://tim.ly/1koDifF thanks to whoever just posted it in chat, be CAREFUL, don’t chase, remember MEDL, might move fast given news and since it’s unknown but looks to be large block sellers everywhere too sit might take a few days, I only have puny position size, goal is to make 20-40%. Exit comments: Double top at .23ish and now volume fading, disappointing, but you gotta adapt to hat price action is saying, might keep running or it might pull an MEDL and do nothing…I’ll try to stay away from these 20 centers int he future, just not worth my time to make a few cents/share & I know it’s frustrating for you guys…still gonna watch it though, potential re-buy if volume picks up again and it uptrends like it did late morning today.

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He had another big profit of $5,005 on IDN. He bought 27,000 shares on the 19th at $0.76 and sold on the 23rd at $0.95. Entry comments: Was trying to get better price, but now I’m chasing with a small position as it’s breaking out late day…totally new business offering police the ability to scan licenses via their iPhone for $50/month, big savings for police offices everywhere, 1+ million possible officers so $50 million/month opportunity, even if they capture 10% this could massive, gonna try to hold this, add to this puny position on dips. Exit comments: WOW nice premarket spike on their patent news today…the patent isn’t a big deal but its been up-trending nicely so as I always say, uptrends lead to big spikes so I’m selling into this spike…not sure if its just premarket or what but I’m taking it…congrats guys HUGE longer term win.

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Then we have 2 losses. First is a $3,860 loss on  IMI. Tim bought 35,000 shares on the 19th at $3.08 and sold on the 20th at $2.98. Entry comments: Buying for morning gap up/spike as this new Toshiba/Sandisk deal is the good news stemming from the 2/27 catastrophe when they said that relationship was over…the stock was at $3.80ish before that day, I’d expect another spike toward that level now that its holding support at $3. Exit comments: Disappointing no gap up, no morning spike, maybe rebounds later, but can’t take that chance as I thought it’d be stronger, very similar to RCON letdown, good lesson for me to take mental notes on, gotta cut losses quickly when wrong.

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Lastly there was a $14,764 loss on LIVE. Tim shorted 70,000 shares on the 23rd at $4.52 and bought them back the same day at $4.72. Entry comments: Too many waves of short squeezes today on the back of blatant promotion, I’d love a halt, more likely though I’ll look to make 30-50 cents/share. Exit comments: Didn’t get drop I wanted, risked wayyyyyyy too much, will do video explaining my screw up.

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 Next up we’ll talk about Superman, who had another SUPER week.

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First up is a $131,328 profit on IGC. He bought 42,400 shares of this stock on March 3rd at $0.91 and sold them on the 21st of this month at $1.83. Entry comments: TRADE do not chase !! RISKY – in pr yesterday they said they are looking at buying solar or medical marijuana…..personal stop loss .8…personal target…1.2-2 plus if it gets traction. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE – i may be totally wrong and this may keep going but with this kind of spike above the 4ema without news yet I have to take profit..should leave some on but trying to be disciplined – will rebut pullback to 4ema if it happens.

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Then we have a $8,829 profit on REDF. He bought 22,000 shares of this stock at $2.40 on the 20th and sold at $2.80 on the 22nd. Entry comments: SWING – Article about possible India boom and at low end of chart ……personal stop loss 2 area and personal target 2.5-2.75 plus area ..will sell if it goes against me – http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-19/india-etfs-show-signs-of-an-80-s-era-reagan-boom.html. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE – will revisit on dips if it does.

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Then we have a $18,666 profit on TGEN. This was a ONE DAY trade too! He bought 4,100 shares at $10.41 on the 21st and sold at $14.97. Entry comments: DO NOT CHASE 700k IPO today http://www.tecogen.com personal stop 8.5 and personal target 10-15 if it works .. kind of like WATT is but dangerous and I chased. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE.

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He made another trade on the 19th and 20th for a $4,855 profit on VIPS. He bought 1,000 shares at $161.58 and sold them at $166.46. Entry comments: Just a starter position……. SWING personal downside stop loss 155-157 and upside personal target 165.170 plus if it works on watch list notes…….Exit comments: SUPER TRADE 5 points or $5k on this trade stress free – will look for re-entry on dip as this is great trading stock!

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Lastly, we have a loss to point out. He lost $3,400 on SYPR. He bought 10,000 shares at $4.27 on the 20th and sold them at $4.27 on the 22nd. Entry comments: CHART – may 12 pr cyber security simulator they said state- governments are using…..personal stop loss 4ema or high 3’s and personal target 4.75-5 plus if it works. Exit comments: stopped out small loss.

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Here are previous roundup posts to help you learn how to trade!

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16