Browsing articles in "Best Trades"

Weekly Roundup March 9-13

Mar 17, 2015   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup March 9-13

It was another down week for the major indices, but our gurus still found ways to make profitable trades. Tim, Superman, and the other big gurus are are all still solidly in the green for the year as well. Remember that since they don’t just trade basic index funds, they can make money in any environment. They are constantly teaching this strategy to their students too.

Here’s an overall market recap from FactSet and our gurus biggest trades below:

Dow -0.60%, S&P -0.86%, Nasdaq -1.13%, Russell 2000 +1.20%.

U.S. equities were lower this week as the S&P 500 suffered its third straight decline. The big macro story continued to revolve around the policy divergence theme with the start of the ECB’s QE program. This dynamic drove a further rally in Eurozone stocks and bonds, but seemed to be an overhang on U.S. equity sentiment as another bout of dollar strength exacerbated intertwined concerns surrounding earnings headwinds and valuation (a strong dollar hurts earnings for companies with a large percentage of sales overseas).

However, ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting, there was little spillover effect on the Fed liftoff debate from the dollar rally, another softer-than-expected retail sales report and a renewed wave of selling pressure on oil. While there were few high-profile earnings reports, corporate newsflow drove some of the more notable price action.

Additional M&A headlines surrounding pharma/biotech helped the healthcare sector put in the best performance this week. The banking group fared well on the back of the capital return announcements that followed the second phase of the Fed’s stress test results. Intel’s preannouncement contributed to the already negative sentiment surrounding the PC space, helping drive the underperformance in tech. The energy sector put in the worst performance this week (suffering its biggest pullback since early January) as oil fell nearly 10% to a six-week low of $44.84 a barrel. Some people are now saying that we haven’t seen the bottom in oil. Please be careful when/if trading it. Oil has been called the “widow maker” for a reason.

Sector Performance (vs S&P 500):

Outperformers: Healthcare +0.46%, Financials +0.40%, Utilities +0.15%, Consumer Disc. -0.34%, Telecom -0.58%, Industrials -0.73%.

Underperformers: Energy -2.82%, Tech -2.39%, Materials -1.29%, Consumer Spls. -1.27%.

The Dow Jones is down -.4% year to date, the S&P 500 -.27%, and the Nasdaq is the only winner up 2.87%.

As you can see, there are some big events going on this week (Fed decision in the middle of the week), so be sure to join the Profit.ly chatroom and keep an eye on the markets! If you don’t you could be missing out on some major profits. Volatility can lead to some really big trades.

Now, let’s start out with Tim, who had a lot of great trades this past week despite how busy it was for him (he was on Fox Business TV with Marria Bartiromo and his new student Former NFL Player Plaxico Burress on Tuesday).


And lastly, take a look at some of our previous roundups, we hope you guys enjoy these!

January 5-January 9

January 12-January 16

January 19-January 23

January 26-January 30

February 2-February 6

February 9-February 13

February 16-February 20

February 23-February 27

March 2-March 6

Best Trades of 2014

Jan 8, 2015   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Market, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Best Trades of 2014

The year is coming to a close, and it’s always great to look back at some of the best trades on Wall Street. Quartz did a great roundup that we are sharing here:

So that’s what we’re giving you in lieu of sweet, sweet returns.

1. Beef Lattes

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Return on the left, underlying asset on the right.(AP Photo/Mike Groll)

That’s not a real thing. But severe droughts in Brazil and the western USdid cut down dramatically on the supply of both coffee and beef. And if you managed not to fall asleep during your Econ 101 lectures, you know that means prices go up! Which is exactly what happened.

Coffee prices spiked earlier this year, forcing chains like Starbucks andDunkin Donuts to pass the hike onto customers. Brazil got some rainthis fall, so the java jump is over. But the much of the American West—until this week, at least—is still a vast, arid expanse (paywall), so cattle herds are still small and prices are high enough to bring back cattle rustling.

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2. Billionaire dollar store whimsy

Carl Icahn, corporate takeover specialist, speaks at the Reuters Corporate Reform Summit at the Reut..

Lend me your ear.(Reuters)

Carl Icahn is an activist investors, which means he buys big chunks of public companies, harangues them into making changes and profits on the resultant stock gains. He did just that earlier this year with Family Dollar, announcing in June a 9.4% stake in the low-cost retailer. He proposed that the company put itself up for sale, which it did. That turned into a bidding war between Dollar Tree and Dollar General. As of now, Family Dollar is sitting on an $8.5 billion offer from Dollar Tree, though the matter seems far from settled. But none of that matters for Icahn. His work done when the stock surged, he jumped out of the stock months ago for a reported gain of $200 million.

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3. The Almighty Dollar

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Might as well just use this stuff.(AP Photo/David Duprey)

The US is doing almost singularly wellamong developed economies. And so is the US dollar among major currencies. So investors are flocking into greenbacks to ride out the storm elsewhere.

As the Federal Reserve winds down its bond-buying program, the European Central Bank is attempting to get its own party started and the Bank of Japan is slamming open its own spigots, helping to make those currencies cheaper and driving the dollar to its most expensive level in five years. In many cases, a strong currency hurts economies because it makes exports more expensive. But it makes imports cheaper for American consumers, who are saving money on cheap gas anyway, so go ahead and buy that house you’ve been eyeing on Snapdeal already!

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4. Old World Obligations

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Betting against Mario was a poor decision.(Reuters/Ralph Orlowski)

Speaking of the ECB, foreign exchange traders aren’t the only ones trying to get in on the stimulus action. Bond investors have been bidding up European government debt in the hopes that the ECB (or some other investor) will take them off their hands later if Germany actually allows the whole thing to go through. To be sure, not all eurozone debt is the same (looking at you Greece), but it’s been a pretty broadly hot category this year.

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5. Chinese Stocks

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Thumbs and markets up.(REUTERS/China Daily)

The Shanghai Hong Kong Stock Connect, also known as the “Through Train,” has picked up a few passengers since it left the station last month. It was in the works for a while, but Chinese officials delayed its launchamid the Umbrella Movement protests in Hong Kong. This week’s minor meltdown notwithstanding, they still did pretty well for the year.

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But it’s curious that a country’s stock market can be doing so well when its underlying economy seems to be going in the opposite direction. Where’s the money coming from? Like in so many other parts of the Chinese economy, the answer is leverage.

Here’s Quartz’s Gwynn Guildford to explain some of that dissonance:

But if leverage has been around for two years now, why are mainland-listed shares only now rallying? Because the Chinese government has been drumming up enthusiasm for stocks, including in its surprise launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect—which, so far, has boosted A-shares minimally. It has also encouraged investment in its state-run press.

“The government may be hoping, by engineering a buoyant stock market through words and deeds, companies can raise equity (rather than debt) so the whole economy can de-leverage,” writes Cui, adding that a stock boom also should boost consumption by making people feel richer.

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Top Trades of 2014

Dec 17, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Top Trades of 2014

We do a roundup each week of our gurus’ best trades for the past 5 days, but now that 2014 is coming to a close, here is a post with the top 3 trades from each guru so far this year. There is still a month left for them to beat these trades, but they’ve all had a great year regardless.

In a year when the Dow and S&P are only up about 10%, it’s even more impressive that these guys are making so much money. No matter what happens to the general stock market in 2015, it’s safe to say these guys will be ready to find the best trades once again.

First we’ll start off with Tim Sykes. He’s up a whopping $850,000 year to date. Think he can break the $1 million mark in the next month?

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Then we have Superman, who has been making some of the biggest trades we’ve ever seen on profit.ly this year and is clearly in the green because of it. He’s made more than $1.48 million already, and certainly has the potential to top $1.5 million by the year’s end.

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Last but not least we have InvestorsLive. He just came out with a new DVD that is sure to be a hit, especially with how well he and his students have done in 2014. He’s up more than $360K this year.

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Weekly Roundup August 25-29

Sep 4, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off on Weekly Roundup August 25-29

We hope you all had a great Labor Day weekend! Last week was a slow one in the stock market, but that didn’t stop our gurus from finding trades and having some huge profits!

First we have Tim.

$4,431 profit on JRJC.

Entry comments: Re-shorted with bigger size since its fading now, once it goes red/takes out the day low this could crash 50-75 cents/share today. Exit comments: NICE collapse, that’s what I wanted the first time, probly goes under 10 but I don’t trust this stock so I’m taking safe profits, great video lesson coming, try try again!

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.10.07 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.10.14 AM

$7,613 profit on LLLI.

Entry comments: Bought this DGLY/TASR sympathy play on nice dp off its highs to reduce the risk, still surging on news of this big potential order from Canada http://tim.ly/VKQBhA goal is to make 20-30-50%, not sure how high it can go, gotta love penny stocks, DGLY keeps going too. Exit comments: Tried to give it time, it broke out to new highs, but just barely, too close to being a double for my comfort, I might re-buy some before the market close, but nothing huge given this kind of toppy-like price action.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.10.40 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.10.48 AM

$2,871 profit on ISNS.

Entry comments: Failed to hold 4.50 breakout, goal is to cover in low 4s if not high 3s. Exit comments: Not cracking, play safe.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.11.21 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.11.26 AM

$3,797 profit on TUBE.

Entry comments: Buying this earnings winner towards bottom of its recent range, gonna try to hold overnight for probable spike tomorrow but if I can make 30-50 cents/share today no overnight risk I’ll probly take that too. Exit comments: I couldn’t help myself taking mid-day risk-free profits, called it all the way, congrats longs! Potential re-buy closer to the market close or if it can break past 13.60-13.70 choppiness.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.11.36 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.11.48 AM

$4,075 loss on TUBE.

Entry comments: Back in for the spike. Exit comments: Cutting losses fast this stock has messed with my head, did the right thing cutting losses quickly premarket, now it’s just choppy and range bound.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.12.00 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.12.26 AM

$3,712 loss on TUBE.

Entry comments: Bought 15000 shares TUBE at 14.29 – Missed TUBE breakout at 14 up to 14.70 now buying on dip, usually you get 2 chances at least before any big runup, goal is to make a quick 30-50 cents/share. Exit comments: Not bouncing the way I thought it would, still above 14 which is key, sellers becoming more entrenched, cutting losses, stinks but don’t let a failed trade turn into an investment and I have a big meeting to go to right now…this is probly fine longterm, but that’s not why I got into this so I have to stay disciplined.

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$8,591 loss on ISNS.

Entry comments: Starter short into this madness spike, it’s Supernova time, straight out of my DVDs, see PennyStocking Part Deux, these will all crash later this week, just be careful about shorting too early, tons of shares available everywhere, goal is to cover in 3s. Exit comments: Heading in wrong direction, no thank you, cutting losses quickly.

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Then we have Superman.

$8,910 profit on VII.

Entry comments: TRADE / SWING andygold find police and surveillance cameras merging with a leader in space float 2.5mm personal stop loss low 2’s and personal target 3.25 plus if works. Exit comments: may go higher but #SUPERTRADE.

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$7,000 profit on DSKY.

Entry comments: CHART / SWING personal stop loss 4ema or high 19’s and personal target 21-23 plus if it works. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE will keep on watch.

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$70,701 profit on WLDN.

Entry comments: SWING – do not chase – one of best reports of season imo….25 eps and strong comments forward…personal stop loss low 8’s and personal target 10-12 plus if it works. Exit comments: SUPER TRADE like a $70k trade will come back to this when chart heals.

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Last but not least we have InvestorsLive.

$1,537 profit on QIHU.

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$4,476 profit on DGLY.

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$8,186 profit on SBOTF.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.23.02 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.23.08 AM

$4,774 loss on BKW.

Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.23.15 AM Screen Shot 2014-08-31 at 11.23.19 AM

$4,793 loss on CENX.

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Don’t miss our previous roundups here:

March 30-April 4

April 7-April 11

April 14-April 18

April 21-April 25

April 28-May 2

May 5-May 9

May 12-May 16

May 19-May 23

May 27-May 30

June 2-June 6

June 9-June 13

June 16-June 20

June 23-June 27

June 30-July 3

July 7-July 11

July 14-July18

August 4-August 8

August 11-August 15

August 18-August 22

 

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Six

Jul 31, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Six

We started a new series on Profitly a couple of weeks ago covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades. Then we covered Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit by shorting the Kiwi (New Zealand Dollar) in the late 80’s and then Jim Rogers’ prediction of the long term bull market in commodities. Then in part three we covered George Soros ‘short of the British pound netting him $1 billion and Stanley Druckenmiller’s bet on the German mark that made $1 billion. Then we talked about Jim Chanos’ short on Enron, and Andrew Hall’s massive long bet on oil, which made enough to warrant a $100 million bonus. In part five we covered John Arnold’s bet against a rival energy hedge fund’s natural gas positions which netted him a 200 percent return and John Paulson’s outstanding call shorting subprime mortgages just before the financial crisis hit, making $3-4 billion.

In our final installment, we’ll start off by covering another bet against subprime mortgages, this time by Kyle Bass. This guy also netted $3-4 billion on the trade. Bass became well-known after this trade, successfully predicting and benefitting from the subprime mortgage crisis by purchasing credit default swaps on subprime securities issued by various investment banks (similar to shorting the bonds).

jkyle-bass-generic-tbi

Via business insider

Last but not least, David Tepper made $7 billion going long on banks after the financial crisis. In 2009, just after the financial crisis hit and everyone thought the global financial system was on the verge of collapse, David Tepper kept his cool and bought enormous quantities of severely depressed big bank stocks—Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BOA). By the end of the year, Bank of America quadrupled and Citi had trebled from it’s post-crash lows, netting Tepper’s hedge fund a cool $7 billion, of which $4 billion went right into Tepper’s coffers. Must be nice! While this seems like an obvious bet in hindsight, there was a lot of worry at the time that big banks would be nationalized.

Via business insider

Via business insider

As we pointed out throughout this series, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me.

Hope you enjoyed hearing about these great trades! Learn from them and look back at them for motivation in your own trading life. Maybe we’ll be reading about one of your trades some day! Be sure to post all of your trades on Profitly!

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Five

Jul 24, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Five

We started a new series on Profitly a couple of weeks ago covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades. Then we covered Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit by shorting the Kiwi (New Zealand Dollar) in the late 80’s and then Jim Rogers’ prediction of the long term bull market in commodities. Then in part three we covered George Soros ‘short of the British pound netting him $1 billion and Stanley Druckenmiller’s bet on the German mark that made $1 billion. Then we talked about Jim Chanos’ short on Enron, and Andrew Hall’s massive long bet on oil, which made enough to warrant a $100 million bonus.

Now in part five, we’ll start off by covering John Arnold’s bet against a rival energy hedge fund’s natural gas positions. When energy hedge fund Amaranth LLC collapsed in the fall of 2006, after quickly losing more than $6 billion, Enron-alum John Arnold at rival energy hedge fund Centaurus Energy, returned 200 percent.

Via Forbes

Via Forbes

Amaranth’s Brian Hunter was betting that natural gas prices would rise as winter set in, but meteorologists began predicting a mild winter, the energy fund started bleeding money, facing $3 billion in margin calls at one point. All the while, Arnold had taken a short position on natural gas and was minting money as quickly as Amarnath was losing it.

Then we have one of my favorite trades. John Paulson shorted subprime mortgages just before the financial crisis hit and made $3-4 billion. It wasn’t that long ago that few people saw the housing bubble coming, and even fewer got the timing just right. John Paulson was one of them. While financial giants were still voraciously buying up all sorts of financial assets backed by subprime mortgages, Paulson’s hedge fund, Paulson & Co, bet against them, and heavily. He convinced banks to write credit-default-swaps on such mortgage-backed assets, and then proceeded to snap up as many as he could. Then he just sat and waited for the market to go kaput, and cashed in. His hedge fund made around $3-4 billion on the deal.

john paulson

As we pointed out in the previous posts, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me.

We still aren’t finished covering these amazing trades either! The series will continue with the final installment shortly. We saved two of the best for last.

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Four

Jul 10, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Four

We started a new series on Profitly a couple of weeks ago covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades. Then we covered Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit by shorting the Kiwi (New Zealand Dollar) in the late 80’s and then Jim Rogers’ prediction of the long term bull market in commodities. Then in part three we covered George Soros ‘short of the British pound netting him $1 billion and Stanley Druckenmiller’s bet on the German mark that made $1 billion.

Now in part four, we’ll start off by covering Jim Chanos’ short on Enron, which he did when everyone thought the company was in great shape. The first time Jim Chanos’ firm analyzed an Enron document was in 1999. By the end of 2000, after almost two years of investigation and analysis into Enron’s activities, Chanos knew that the company was lying about pretty much everything important and was headed for disaster.

via Yale alumni magazine

via Yale alumni magazine

So, around November 2000, just after Enron’s stock hit $90 and had a target price of $130 – $140, Chanos’ firm initiated a short position. It took more than a year for the stock to hit rock bottom—the company filed for bankruptcy in December 2001, but by then Chanos had made a bundle. Although we do not know the exact amount of the profit, this trade is impressive simply because he called it almost perfectly even though everyone else was going in the opposite direction.

Next we have Andrew Hall’s massive long bet on oil, which made enough to warrant a $100 million bonus (equivalent to roughly $128 million today). In 2003, when oil was trading at about $30 a barrel, Andrew Hall, who was working for Citigroup’s energy trading division Phibro at the time, was betting that oil would reach $100 within five years. So he bought a whole bunch of ‘long-dated oil futures’ that would only pay of if his hunch was right. And since his prediction seemed so far-fetched at the time, he got them cheap. It was a risky bet. If the price of oil hadn’t cleared $100 by 2008 (which it did) Hall would be out a bundle. But his hunch played out, and the Phibro division made more money that it would have had they just directly invested in oil ETFs. Citi was supposed to pay Hall $100 million for the trade, but they didn’t want to give him the full amount. The whole thing riled up so much controversy that Citi ended up selling Phibro.

via businessweek

via businessweek

As we pointed out in the previous posts, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me.

We still aren’t finished covering these amazing trades either! The series will continue with part five shortly, and you won’t believe how much the next two traders made.

Slow Trading Sessions Don’t Mean Small Profits for Superman

Jul 3, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Slow Trading Sessions Don’t Mean Small Profits for Superman

 

 

 

This week has already been a great one for Superman and his students! Even though it’s the 4th of July holiday week, when most traders are laying back and just muddling through, Superman is catching some massive movers and making huge profits. Here is a quote from his watch list:

“I made $29,475 yesterday by perfectly using my strategy on all 3 of my types of trades ( Swing, Chart, Daytrade) on LONG , MTLS, CNYD, RCON !!!! IPO Tracker on the Super Pro Videos continues to be a hot spot for finding winners!!!….….…….have your own trade plan any time you enter a trade!!! Please note I have been much stricter with rule following !!!! ……… follow the rules NOT ME !!! …..when I do not follow rules I lose $$” Check out some of the screen shots of the trades:

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Here is a recent in depth and honest review of his alerts published on investimonials.

I want to write and in-depth review of Superman’s service while using him for the last 6 months or so.

Opinions here seem to be divided between people thinking he just front runs and is a fraud, or a bunch of other random stuff. Here is what I got out of this service, and why I think its good overall, but a bit expensive and not for people who just follow or have a small account (less than 10k) and wont be able to pay off their membership.

First the good:

Chatroom: The chat room is really good. All of the mods super has in the room are spread about a bunch of different specializations. Some are looking to take BIG positions in select stocks and ride it out. others are very good at spotting select chart setups, and others are very good at calling out sectors and finding those most levered to trend. Overall My biggest wins in this room have been from the chat room alerts, specifically from the moderators. They know which news is material which isn’t. They are on top of all earnings reports and put in their insight. For the most part they all announce their trades and why pretty quickly, and their trades aren’t as subjective to massive spiking as superman’s alerts tend to be, because he focuses a lot of low-float and momentum micro caps, although not always.

The Okay, but could better:

1. The videos are very meh and very rarely does he actually go through his strategy. I’ve actually started from the beginning and watched some of the videos in between to see if I could learn more, and while in some videos he does go in-depth into what he looks for into earnings, or what websites he uses to research and what is methodology is, don’t expect a bunch of videos that are solely there to teach you how he finds or what he scans for. For the most part the videos will overview current stocks that are in play and give his takes on the chart patterns, with potential exits or entrances.

2. Superman can be somewhat detached/aloof. This is very dependent on your personally and what you want to get out of the service. Superman is constantly telling everyone to follow rules and not him. to have a plan, etc etc. While I am all for this, as I trade almost full time and spend a lot of time researching and learning, this type of attitude can be off puting to some looking for a mentor. It would probably more constructive if superman at least went over what stocks he is looking to get out of, what he looks for at inflection points, and was overall more involved in some of the finer points of his strategy. While I don’t really use this service for this specifically, as I mostly use it for the chatroom and the research/hidden gems superman finds, I can see why a lot of people who just want to trade while having a full time job can be disappointing or confused when some alerts/picks inevitably miss, or market turbulence causes them to lose confidence.

3. The watchlist

The bad:

1. The alerts. I was debating putting this here under “the bad” but I’ll go ahead and write down my issues. For one a lot of superman’s alerts can be ambiguous. While he does state a time period of sorts, it is very varied and hard to truly see what his plan is with some stocks. Furthermore a lot of his alerts can be alerts betting on continued momentum. While these alerts are fine when the market is in rage mode, be very very careful following these alerts when the market is slowing down. Furthermore, Superman’s picks are usually also stocks that in action, and after he alerts them they can be even more in action and spike, creating some high risk entries. Overall though, the more substance based alerts, especially picks/research where he finds things hidden in 10k’s and read the fine prints in sites can be huge. some of the most unreal gainers while I’ve been in the service have been alerts superman has given out after finding hidden gems that are potential game changers in company websites, presentations or 10k’s. It it these picks that I try to focus on, and while rare, can cover the cost of membership very quickly.

conclusion: Buy this for the chatroom and the hidden gems superman occasionally finds that can make your year. Don’t focus too much on the videos and do not follow his trade alerts as they usually spike. Instead focus solely on the Major finds and hidden gems he finds such as ARCW CAMT CARA ZOOM etc where he digs into websites, 10k’s etc and finds information that could potentially be game changing.

Furthermore, and most importantly, be VERY careful following his strategy or alerts when the market is turbulent. during shake out periods such as now (march-april 2014) some of his past picks can lose 40%+ . It is of course impossible to determine when these periods hit, but overall if things aren’t roaring, and some of the bigger momentum stocks start losing traction. try to focus only on his hidden gem finds.

Examples of hidden gems by superman

ARCW: He found this at 8-10 dollars when it was trading w/ less than 10k volume a day. He found additive manufacturing (3d printing) and a bunch of other interesting things in the 10k and confrence calls.

CARA: right after ipo he found cannboid mentions in some drugs on the website. the line where cannaboids was mentioned was only one or two I believe.

CAMT: another example of him finding some 3d printing mention.

ZOOM: Mention of acuisition.

He also has some current findings I think are interesting, we will see how they play out.

 

 

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Three

Jun 27, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Three

We started a new series on Profitly last week covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting. For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS). But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades. Then we covered Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit by shorting the Kiwi (New Zealand Dollar) in the late 80’s and then Jim Rogers’ prediction of the long term bull market in commodities. We’ll cover yet another two great trades in this post. First we have a trade by the very well known George Soros, who Tim did a profile on just a week or so ago. This guy shorted the British pound and made $1 billion. Yes, we have now headed into the billion dollar range, not just millions anymore. His face probably looked something like this when he found out how much he made. Soros-George-bugeyedmonster Back in the 90s when Britain was thriving, not only did George Soros short the pound, he borrowed heavily to do so. This was when pound was being traded on a fixed exchange rate. Soon after Soros’s short bet, the British government realized that it would loose billions if it continued to artificially prop up the pound. They withdrew from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism, and the pound plummeted. This short bet bagged Soros at least $1 billion, elevating him to ‘brilliant billionaire investor’ status. This is the equivalent of roughly $1.8 billion today! g_soros Next up we have Stanley Druckenmiller’s bet on the German mark that made $1 billion. During the same time that George Soros was shorting the pound, Stanley Druckenmiller, who was then employed by Soros’s Quantum fund, was betting on the German mark. Before the Berlin Wall fell, the reunification of East and West Germany seems like so mammoth a task that the German mark was depressed to an extreme level. Initially Druckenmiller put several million into a bet that the mark would rally, but later, on Soros’s say-so, he increased his purchase to about $2 billion (I guess Soros lives by the saying “go big or go home! Good thing he is smart enough to get away with it). The mark rallied, and Druckenmiller made the fund $1 billion. Since it was during the same time period, the inflation adjustment is still the same and it is equivalent to $1.8 billion today. Now he’s all like “ha, ya, I did make that much. Come at me bro!” MI-BF357_DRUCKE_G_20100818174413 As we pointed out in the previous posts, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me. We still aren’t finished covering these amazing trades either! The series will continue with part four very soon.

Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Two

Jun 20, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  Comments Off on Series: The Greatest Trades of All-Time Part Two

We started a new series on Profitly last week covering some of the greatest trades of all time. Millions of trades are made every day, but most of them are not for the kinds of profits we are diving in to. They’re more likely to be a few hundred here, a few thousand there. It’s hard to compare to the two trades we are highlighting below, although some of the trades on Profitly are worth noting.

For instance, Tim made more than $70k on this trade ($70,982 profit EKSO), lx21 made $470k on this trade ($470,394 profit STXS), Superman made $419k here ($419,777 profit SPEX), Tim’s second millionaire student made $100k on this trade ($101,404 profit FNMA), his first millionaire student made $88k on this trade ($88,401 profit LSCG), and InvestorsLive made $80k on this trade ($80,728 profit RAYS).

But alas, it is really hard to top the trades detailed below. First we discussed Jesse Livermore’s $100 million profit when he shorted the 1929 stock market crash and second we discussed Paul Tudor Jones’ $100 million when he predicted Black Monday in 1987. Business Insider does a great job of finding the best trades.

We’ll cover two more trades in this post. First up is Andy Krieger’s $300 million profit. You probably didn’t think we could get profits even larger than the $100 million discussed last week, but this guy made three times that! How? He shorted the Kiwi in the late 80s and made $300 million. And get this, that $300 million is the equivalent of $626 million when adjusted for inflation!

In 1987, just after the Black Monday crash investors dumped the U.S. dollar and rushed into other currencies. Andy Krieger, a the 32-year-old currency trader at Banker’s Trust, guessed that the New Zealand dollar, also know as the ‘Kiwi’, was dangerously overvalued. Using options, which were a relatively new financial instrument at the time, Krieger took up a short position against the Kiwi worth millions of dollars. So much so that his sell orders actually exceeded the New Zealand money supply. The kiwi yo-yoed between a 3 – 5 percent loss and netted Kreiger’s employers about $300 million. Krieger got a $3 million bonus out of the deal.

Next up we have the well-known Jim Rogers. He went long on commodities when they were cheap in the late 90s. Back in the 1990’s, where commodities were still in long bear market, Jim Rogers saw the bull market coming from a mile away and created the Rogers International Commodity Index.

This index has consistently returned 209% since 1998, although commodities haven’t done that well lately, and Rogers expects that this market is only going to get more bullish as paper assets start to become worthless. We don’t have an exact profit amount for this trade, but what’s really impressive about this is that he accurately called the bottom of the market that’s gone on to rally for more than a decade.

As we pointed out last time, the Profitly gurus may not be making million dollar profits on single trades, but as you can see in the links above, they are making trades with profits equal to or even above the average person’s annual salary, meaning they are still a far cry from the average investor who puts money in their 401k and hopes to become a millionaire by the time they retire. Sure, you have years like 2013 where you would have done “ok” by investing simply in an S&P500 index fund, but most years are a far cry from the 30% return we saw then. This year for example the index is only up about 5% or so. Not so great if you ask me.

And get ready for the rest of this great series. Did you really think these trading profits were as high as we could go? Ha, just wait until you see some of the other trades we have coming up! They will blow you away.

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