Will Bulls Reign In 2015?

Feb 19, 2015   //   by Profitly   //   Market, Profitly, Risks  //  Comments Off on Will Bulls Reign In 2015?

People will often ask our gurus what their general outlook for the market is the following year and 2015 is no different. What we want everyone to know is that for us, it doesn’t matter if the market goes up or down. We train our students to know how to trade in any market. There will always be weeks where there are more plays then others, but the general direction of the market does not have a large impact on their ability to make money. They know how to short stocks and buy stocks by just learning technical patterns and the impact of various news stories.

If you are still curious how the market s going to do in the following year though, here is a post form Business Insider that will give you some insight. Please do keep in mind that making these types of predictions is like rolling a dice. New events can quickly pop up throughout the year and turn these estimates on their heads.

Finally, A Top Wall Street Strategist Goes Contrarian And Predicts US Stocks Will Fall In 2015

Until now, we couldn’t find a single major Wall Street strategist that was predicting US stocks would fall in 2015, and neither could Barron’s:

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The lowest level on Barron’s list was 2100 by Jonathan Glionna of Barclays. Keep in mind that the S&P 500 closed on December 31, 2014, at 2,058.90, so these are all higher than that level.

Of the strategists followed by Business Insider, 2100 was also the lowest, with the most bearish coming from Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, and Barclays.

But Societe Generale has come out with a contrarian view: US stocks are going to slide in 2015.

“Since 1875, we have never seen the S&P rise for seven calendar years in a row, so an eighth year would seem highly unlikely,” Societe Generale’s Roland Kaloyan said in a Dec. 17 note to clients. “We assume that the S&P 500 will finish the year slightly down as the strengthening of the US dollar and the new tightening cycle offset the strong US GDP growth already priced-in at the start of the year.”

@finansakrobat tweeted this map summarizing the firms outlook for global stocks in 2015.

The red map of the US with “S&P 500: -1%” really sticks out.

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Via Societe Generale

 

However, Kaloyan is feeling positive about other countries in Asia and Europe.

The firm is expecting stocks soaring in Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, and several European countries including Spain.