Top Trades of 2014

Dec 17, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Best Trades, Profitly  //  No Comments

We do a roundup each week of our gurus’ best trades for the past 5 days, but now that 2014 is coming to a close, here is a post with the top 3 trades from each guru so far this year. There is still a month left for them to beat these trades, but they’ve all had a great year regardless.

In a year when the Dow and S&P are only up about 10%, it’s even more impressive that these guys are making so much money. No matter what happens to the general stock market in 2015, it’s safe to say these guys will be ready to find the best trades once again.

First we’ll start off with Tim Sykes. He’s up a whopping $850,000 year to date. Think he can break the $1 million mark in the next month?

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Then we have Superman, who has been making some of the biggest trades we’ve ever seen on profit.ly this year and is clearly in the green because of it. He’s made more than $1.48 million already, and certainly has the potential to top $1.5 million by the year’s end.

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Last but not least we have InvestorsLive. He just came out with a new DVD that is sure to be a hit, especially with how well he and his students have done in 2014. He’s up more than $360K this year.

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Weekly Roundup December 1-5

Dec 11, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off

We hope all of you enjoyed the holiday weekend and were ready to pick up the trading on Monday just like our gurus did!

$35,200 profit on MTEX; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: plane wifi SLOW — TRADE/SWING SMALL position low float earnings winner…1.89 eps this Q…..personal stop loss 19 area and I WILL SELL if it goes against me …personal target 21-25 plus if it runs. Exit comments: may go higher but #SUPOER SWING trade.

Position Updates

Dec 04, 12:02 PM: Sold 7000 at 26.35 – may go higher but #SUPOER SWING trade

Nov 05, 1:34 PM: Added 2000 at 22.50 – add

Nov 05, 1:13 PM: Added 2000 at 22.50 – add

Nov 04, 12:58 PM: Bought 3000 at 19.75 – plane wifi SLOW — TRADE/SWING SMALL position low float earnings winner…1.89 eps this Q…..personal stop loss 19 area and I WILL SELL if it goes against me …personal target 21-25 plus if it runs

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$8,250 profit on RADA; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: TRADE – n ice news out and market starved for small cap runners , personal stop loss 2.45 area and personal target 3 pus if works. Exit comments: may go higher but taking the profit #WUPER #TRADE.

Position Updates

Dec 04, 12:03 PM: Sold 10000 at 3.08 – may go higher but taking the profit #WUPER #TRADE

Dec 04, 10:49 AM: Sold 10000 at 3.03 – rules , still have other half

Dec 04, 10:05 AM: Added 5000 at 2.80 – add – We believe that additional leading countries and integrators will follow this selection.”

Dec 04, 10:03 AM: Bought 15000 at 2.59 – TRADE – n ice news out and market starved for small cap runners , personal stop loss 2.45 area and personal target 3 pus if works

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$6,925 profit on TCCO; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: DO NOT CHASE – Swing nice contract , low float sexy sector, personal stop loss low 4;s and personal target 5.50-6 plus if it works ..has moved in past. Exit comments: #SUPER TRADE educational alert in 4.84 and hit well over 6 !!

Position Updates

Dec 03, 10:17 AM: Sold 3500 at 5.70 – #SUPER TRADE educational alert in 4.84 and hit well over 6 !!

Dec 03, 10:10 AM: Sold 3500 at 6.05 – rules

Dec 03, 9:37 AM: Added 2000 at 5.00 – add

Dec 03, 9:33 AM: Bought 5000 at 4.84 – DO NOT CHASE – Swing nice contract , low float sexy sector, personal stop loss low 4’s and personal target 5.50-6 plus if it works ..has moved in past.

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$4,185 loss on BDL; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: DO NOT CHASE – ultra low float – i asked myself why would someone do an SA hit piece on this unless they were caught short or planning on shorting. personal stop loss 30 area and personal target 35-40 plus if i am correct and it squeezes – very thin and dangerous. Exit comments: idea did not work – taking loss.

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$3,791 profit on TCCO; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Dip buying this contract winner, found support at 5.50-5.60, goal is low 6s. Exit comments: This could keep going, but I made nearly $1/share from my original buy alert which is BEST case scenario for an impatient trader like me. If this keeps breaking out I might re-buy, but its choppy & has a habit of fading volume so be careful, DON’T CHASE THIS…the key on this trade for me was dip buying near multi-month support at 5.70ish…if this runs up enough it might even be a good short, I don’t like shorting contract winners, but its always faded after 2 day spikes.

Position Updates

Dec 04, 8:03 AM: Sold 5000 at 6.66 – This could keep going, but I made nearly $1/share from my original buy alert which is BEST case scenario for an impatient trader like me. If this keeps breaking out I might re-buy, but its choppy & has a habit of fading volume so be careful, DON’T CHASE THIS…the key on this trade for me was dip buying near multi-month support at 5.70ish…if this runs up enough it might even be a good short, I don’t like shorting contract winners, but it’s always faded after 2 day spikes

Dec 03, 7:48 PM: Added 1000 at 6.25 – Added more on this afterhours breakout above 6.20, nice afterhours buying, only resistance that remains is 6.45-6.50 then it really could hit 7 tomorrow, see video lesson, congrats longs!

Dec 03, 3:34 PM: Bought 4000 at 5.78 – Dip buying this contract winner, found support at 5.50-5.60, goal is low 6s
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$2,659 profit on MAGS; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: This security company reported blowout earnings today and already hit 6.30 so I’m buying on a sizable dip. It is a multi-year breakout above $5/share so there’s not much risk and their new next generation products like RoboGuard has ZERO competitors. I can picture robots guarding facilities and they should announce contracts for it in the coming few weeks and months, my goal is to make 20-40% on this stock over that time. Exit comments: Taking decent 10% gain since it’s up on the this Ferguson debate/press/hype, not really due to the company itself, taking advantage of it, nice gains, congrats everyone!

Position Updates

Dec 03, 1:30 PM: Sold 3000 at 5.77 – Taking decent 10% gain since it’s up on the this Ferguson debate/press/hype, not really due to the company itself, taking advantage of it, nice gains, congrats everyone!

Nov 28, 9:39 AM: Sold 3000 at 5.50 – Sold half my position into the nice holiday spike, normally I would hold longer, but this is a choppy stock and I let my position get a bit too big since I plan on holding for weeks if not months to sell into bigger spike in the 6s or ideally the 7s…I’ll do a video lesson explaining why this weekend, Happy Thanksgiving!

Nov 24, 10:13 AM: Added 3000 at 4.97 – Added to my long position after reading the company’s conference call transcript, I’ll have videos explaining this earnings report and EFUT’s earnings report, I’m long both of them and will look to sell into big spikes

Nov 20, 2:52 PM: Bought 3000 at 5.40 – This security company reported blowout earnings today and already hit 6.30 so I’m buying on a sizable dip. It is a multi-year breakout above $5/share so there’s not much risk and their new next generation products like RoboGuard has ZERO competitors. I can picture robots guarding facilities and they should announce contracts for it in the coming few weeks and months, my goal is to make 20-40% on this stock over that time

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$2,980 loss on CANF; Short Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Pump about to go negative on the day, yesterday big crash, volume fading, goal is to cover at 4ish or maybe even break below. Exit comments: Couldn’t crack day low as evidenced by similar pumps VGGL and ECRY, promoters are holding these carcasses up and squeezing shorts, so I’ll play safe and cut losses quickly, this was a frustrating trade but will make for a great video lesson later tonight…learn from my mistakes!

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$4,330 loss on ECRY; Short Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Shorting this pump on its probable 1st down day since runup from .17, goal is to cover below today’s low of .34, ideally .30ish or even lower depending on morning panic tomorrow…PERFECT panic today and now failed bounce, good indicators to short, easy to borrow w/ my high net worth broker. Exit comments: Good job promoters you squeezed me with your ridiculous overnight emails, thats what I get for being too aggressive too early…now get to work spiking this MUCH more so I can have a better entry at higher prices, thanks! (Gotta cut losses quickly when wrong especially since .38 breakdown point was initial pump highs so the promoters are adhering to technical analysis to lure in more buyers).

Position Updates

Dec 05, 9:51 AM: Covered 91000 at 0.425 – Good job promoters you squeezed me with your ridiculous overnight emails, thats what I get for being too aggressive too early…now get to work spiking this MUCH more so I can have a better entry at higher prices, thanks! (Gotta cut losses quickly when wrong especially since .38 breakdown point was initial pump highs so the promoters are adhering to technical analysis to lure in more buyers)

Dec 04, 3:54 PM: Added 46000 at 0.385 – Added to my short, looks ripe for overnight crash or even possible halt always

Dec 04, 3:45 PM: Shorted 45000 at 0.39 – Shorting this pump on its probable 1st down day since runup from .17, goal is to cover below today’s low of .34, ideally .30ish or even lower depending on morning panic tomorrow…PERFECT panic today and now failed bounce, good indicators to short, easy to borrow w/ my high net worth broker

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Don’t forget to check out previous roundups here:

September 29-October 3

October 6-October 10

October 13-October 17

October 20-October 24

October 27-October 31

November 3-Novermber 7

November 10-November 14

November 17-November 21

November 24-November 28

Profit.ly Gurus Are Crushing The Competition

Dec 9, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Leaderboards, Profitly  //  Comments Off

While we’re having another great year here at Profit.ly while other stock pickers aren’t doing too well. In fact, 2014 is shaping up to be their worst year in 3 decades. According to Lipper, 2014 has shaped up to be the worst year in modern history for active stock picking fund managers, with 85% of them failing to beat their benchmarks! It’s almost unbelievable. Imagine if airlines only got 15% of their flights to the destination on time. This is a massive fail,  and it is why we work so hard to be part of the 15% that does do well. Superman, for instance, is up for than $1 million this year! Check out his profit chart as well as Tim’s:

Superman Profits

Superman’s Profits

Tim Sykes Profits

Tim Sykes’ Profits

We’ve told you time and again that educating yourself is the number one way to become a successful trader. It sounds like a lot of fund managers need to go back to investing 101 or buy one of our DVDs.

Here is the original post that appeared on both Business Insider and Reuters:

With bad bets on financial shares, missed opportunities in technology stocks and too much cash on the sidelines, roughly 85 percent of active large-cap stock funds have lagged their benchmark indexes through Nov. 25 this year, according to an analysis by Lipper, a Thomson Reuters research unit. It is likely their worst comparative showing in 30 years, Lipper said.

Some long-term advocates of active management may be turned off by the results, especially considering the funds’ higher fees. Through Oct. 31, index stock funds and exchange traded funds have pulled in $206.2 billion in net deposits.

Actively managed funds, a much larger universe, took in a much smaller $35.6 billion, sharply down from the $162 billion taken in during 2013, their first year of net inflows since 2007.

Jeff Tjornehoj, head of Lipper Americas Research, said investors will have to decide if they have the stomach to stick with active funds in hopes of better results in the future.

“A year like this sorts out what kind of investor you are,” he said.

Even long-time standout managers like Bill Nygren of the $17.8 billion Oakmark Fund and Jason Subotky of the $14.2 billion Yacktman Fund are lagging, at a time when advisers are growing more focused on fees.

The Oakmark fund, which is up 11.82 percent this year through Nov. 25, charges 0.95 percent of assets in annual fees, compared with 0.09 percent for the SPDR S&P 500 exchange traded fund, which mimics the S&P 500 and is up almost 14 percent this year, according to Morningstar. The Yacktman fund is up 10.2 percent over the same period and charges 0.74 percent of assets in annual fees.

The pay-for-active-performance camp argues that talented managers are worth paying for and will beat the market over investment cycles.

Rob Brown, chief investment strategist for United Capital, which has $11 billion under management and keeps about two thirds of its mutual fund holdings in active funds, estimates that good managers can add an extra 1 percent to returns over time compared with an index-only strategy.

Indeed, the top active managers have delivered. For example, $10,000 invested in the Yacktman Fund on Nov. 23, 2004, would have been worth $27,844 on Nov. 25 of this year; the same amount invested in the S&P 500 would be worth $21,649, according to Lipper.

Even so, active funds as a group tend to lag broad market indexes, though this year’s underperformance is extreme. In the rout of 2008, when the S&P 500 fell 38 percent, more than half of the active large cap stock funds had declines that were greater than those of their benchmarks, Lipper found. The last time when more than half of active large cap stock managers beat their index was 2009, when the S&P 500 was up 26 percent. That year, 55 percent of these managers beat their benchmarks.

www.telegraph.co.uk

www.telegraph.co.uk

UNUSUALLY BAD BETS

In 2014, some recurring bad market bets were made by various active managers. Holding too much cash was one.

Yacktman’s Subotky said high stock prices made him skeptical of buying new shares, leaving him with 17 percent of the fund’s holdings in cash while share prices have continued to rise. He cautioned investors to have patience.

“Our goal is never to capture every last drop of a roaring bull market,” Subotky said

Oakmark’s Nygren cited his light weighting of hot Apple shares and heavy holdings of underperforming financials, but said his record should be judged over time. “Very short-term performance comparisons, good or bad, may bear little resemblance to long term results,” he said.

Shares of Apple, the world’s most valuable publicly traded company, are up 48 percent year to date. As of Sept 30, Apple stock made up 1.75 percent of Oakmark’s assets, compared with 3.69 percent of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF.

Investors added $3.9 billion to Nygren’s fund through Nov. 19, Lipper said.

Still, some managers risk losing their faithful.

“We have been very much believers in active management but a number of our active managers have let us down this year and we are rethinking our strategy,” said Martin Hopkins, president of an investment management firm in Annapolis, Maryland, that has $4 million in the Yacktman Fund.

Derek Holman of EP Wealth Advisors, in Torrance, California, which manages about $1.8 billion, said his firm recently moved $130 million from a pair of active large cap funds into ETFs, saying it would save clients about $650,000 in fees per year.

Holman said his firm still uses active funds for areas like small-cap investing, but it is getting harder for fund managers to gain special insights about large companies.

For those managers, he said, “it’s getting harder to stand out.”

This article originally appeared at Reuters. Copyright 2014. Follow Reuters on Twitter.

Weekly Roundup November 24-28

Dec 5, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off

Our gurus have all been busy working on special projects and it was also a shortened trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, but we do still have some trades to recap!

$1,920 profit on MAGS; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Rebought this earnings winner on its bounce near day highs, still think this bounces 20-40 cents/share, not much risk buying now that its dropped for several days and is holding multi-year breakout at 5.10ish. Exit comments: Got a nice breakout above the mid-day high of 5.38 but then wall of sellers at 5.40ish, no thanks, I’ll re-buy on big dips, these earnings winners as of late are chopppppy, gotta play safe.

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$665 profit on CANF; Short Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Re-shorted this pump as its failing so gradually, annoying to short into the SSR (short-sale restriction), but I think this has a good shot at a morning panic tomorrow, goal is to cover in the mid to high 3s. Exit comments: Got a slight gap down, but not the panic I wanted, that opens the door to it spiking since its down so much off its highs and lots of shorts still here.

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$787 loss on VSR; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: With APT/LAKE spiking 26-40% today VSR is the 3rd hottest play in that sector so I’m buying the runt of the litter, goal is to make 20-40 cents/share, right at day highs. Exit comments: It did hit 3.36 premarket today, but I wasn’t awake and now there’s no gap up/morning spike since sector leaders LAKE/APT are down 7+% so I’m cutting losses quickly, rule #1 from http://tim.ly/thebestrules The good news is I barely lost a few cents/share here, buying the runt of the litter in a hot sector protects you from larger losses.

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Don’t forget to check out previous roundups here:

September 2-September 5

September 8-September 12

September 15-September 19

September 22-September 26

September 29-October 3

October 6-October 10

October 13-October 17

October 20-October 24

October 27-October 31

November 3-Novermber 7

November 10-November 14

November 17-November 21

Traits of the Youngest Millionaires

Dec 2, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly  //  Comments Off

Our guru’s and a number of their students have achieved the coveted millionaire status, but that doesn’t mean it happened overnight or that it was an easy feat. There was blood, sweat and tears, so to speak, on their road to success. We always try to write posts and link to content that tells you it IS possible to become a millionaire, but it is difficult and you shouldn’t get discouraged when you encounter obsticals. Superman, for instance, lived in a car for awhile, but now he makes more than a million dollars a year.

www.megadual.com

www.megadual.com

LinkedIn has a lot of great content, and here is a post from Peter Voogd about young entrepreneurs that we believed should be shared. So here we go:

This article isn’t about the millions, it’s about interrupting the belief system you currently have, and educating you on how to build wealth. Being a millionaire is very rare in our society. Some work their whole lives and never reach the status. Of course, they’ll validate anyway they can saying things like “I don’t care about money,” “Millionaires aren’t happy,” “I don’t need that much money,” and I’m sure you can think of 30 others validations. The exciting news for all those Young Professionals that aspire to become millionaires is that the number of young millionaires are rising year after year. They’re also getting younger and younger. That’s exciting! I have been around my fair share of extremely successful young professionals, made my first million before 26, and have a mentor that made his first million when he was 21. You don’t make a million by accident and if it’s not a goal you sure as hell won’t hit it. Let’s talk about what I’ve discovered over the past 10 years, and what the common themes you see in all these Young Millionaires are. These are facts, not theory. Let’s go!

Urgency

The best companies on the planet LOVE young talent, they love those who are on purpose, and they love those who have a sense of urgency to their life. Google is hiring more teenagers than college graduates. Here’s an article talking about the 12 year old they just hired. Hmm… I would ponder on that one.. Realize, now matters more than any other time, and the “someday isle” mentality is killing so many dreams. I know people who have been in the same company for years, but haven’t advanced. Opportunities are only opportunities if you’re taking full advantage of them. Young millionaires always do, and they are consistently reaching for new goals and ambitions. You MUST have a sense of urgency that most of society doesn’t have if you’re serious about success. One trait we look for when qualifying people who apply for our Game Changers Academy is urgency. Do they have hunger and ambition to elevate their game NOW, not a month from now? There will NEVER be the right time.

Elevated Influence

Behind every young millionaire you’ll find an educated and wise mentor. I have yet to meet any millionaires or billionaires who don’t have mentors that guide them, challenge them, and always focus them on bigger thinking. They understand deep down that it’s impossible to grow, learn, and become the person needed to reach the million mark without an exceptional network behind you. Success rises and falls on who you associate with so make sure you stay aware of your surroundings. You can systematize a lot of things, but you can’t systematize time so make sure you’re always spending it with the right people.

Maximizing Their Strengths

One of my favorite Gary Vaynerchuk quotes of all time is

“I suck at 99% of stuff, but I go all out on that 1% I’m good at.”

We’re conditioned by our teachers, peers, parents, uneducated coaches, and everybody else pumped to give advice that you must “learn to work on your weaknesses,” and “Strengthen your weaknesses,” but all young millionaires focus 100% on their best skills and strengths. They learn to surround themselves with people who compliment their weaknesses, or they delegate them. You’ll never get wealthy focusing on things you aren’t good at. Whats your 1 thing? What can you become the best at? Now, once you master that area, and start producing real results, you can then move to something else. The jack of all trades is seldom exceptional at anything, and usually broke as well.

Never Trade Time For Money

Young Millionaires realize they’ll never become wealthy trading time for money, and neither will you. It’s ok for awhile, but at some point you have to focus on scaling and leverage. One of the reasons Entrepreneurship, Network Marketing, Direct Sales, and Internet Businesses are growing exponentially is because of the endless possibility. It’s not easy, and it takes risk, but you must see past the risk and focus on the rewards. Focus on the power of leverage and how to create consistent income without trading time for money. Investment properties, membership sites, building a brand, partnerships, affiliate marketing, different types of programs, etc. Take some time to really analyze if you’re maximizing your time. If you are trading time for money make 100% sure it’s an intelligent trade. If you want to make more money become more valuable. It’s as simple as that. Millionaires become millionaires because they’ve added more value to the marketplace than most people, and they understand the power of leveraging and scaling their businesses.

They Could Care Less

You must drop the need to be liked if you want an extraordinary life. People who care what others think of them will always be limited to others opinions. You best believe Young Millionaires take very few opinions and have a extremely thick skin. (Check out my 1o min podcast about “How to build real mental toughness” and subscribe here) When you pursue greatness don’t expect others to support you, because you’ll represent the courage, strength, and vision they don’t yet have. The remarkable innovator, Steve Jobs use to say

“your time is limited so don’t waste it living somebody else’s life.”

Young Millionaires trust their vision, and have an unshakable confidence in what they do; even when everyone else is doubting it. I challenge you to stay fearless in everything you do. The reason most don’t take risks, live on the edge, or push the envelope is the fear of what others might think of them. If you want to live the life you truly deserve, one of significance and fulfillment you must give up the need to be liked by everybody. Will Smith said it perfectly

“Trying to get everybody to like you is the most common chosen road to mediocrity.”

Check out the final point in the post on LinkedIn.

Weekly Roundup November 17-21

Nov 29, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off

$2,458 profit TITXF; Short Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Trying something new, shorting this earnings loser, read PR http://tim.ly/1sNBEp5 they’re basically delaying their robotic surgery unit to aim for more procedures, tough to have more patience as I’ve been watching it for months and today’s crash to 1.30 means others are giving up on it, TERRIBLY broken chart now, good risk/reward shorting on this 40 cent/share intraday bounce, goal is to make 20-40 cent/share on my short. Exit comments: Got slight dip, but no big panic like I wanted, taking small profits, video lesson coming.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 17, 9:37 AM: 32000 at 1.57

Nov 14, 3:45 PM: Added 9000 at 1.64 – Adding to my short since its fading nicely and I expect another big morning panic next week as long-term longs realize the new news and broken long-term chart…today’s morning panic was 60 cents/share, all I want is 30 cent/share and I’ll be VERY happy next week!

Nov 14, 2:24 PM: Added 23000 at 1.67

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$1,775 profit ZAZA; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Dip buying this earnings winner, same pattern as VGGL, gonna try to make 30-50 cent/share, based nicely at $3 so not much risk. Exit comments: Hit my target DEAD ON…sorry it spiked so fast, but same kind of thing with VGGL, buy earnings winners on big dips with little risk, this keeps going now to 3.58 as I type this, but I’m happy with my 30 cents/share, congrats to all longs!

Partial Position Updates

Nov 17, 2:03 PM: 6000 at 3.45

Nov 17, 1:30 PM: Added 6000 at 3.16

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$2,098 profit RESN; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Bought this potentially revolutionary technology play in reaction to this article http://tim.ly/1v4kGZg this little $50 million company is working with $11 billion SWKS on a product that could be huge for the smartphone industry, GREAT article, potential bidding war for RESN, its jumped a ton on the back of this article though so I’m taking a VERY small longer term position with the goal of adding to my position at lower prices…but it might just keep spiking, I also bought short-term too. Exit comments: Sold the remainder of my long-term position for $2/share profit, now $9.16 as I type, but I LOVE locking in $2/share profit 25%+ profits within a week, potential re-buy at lower prices, but this is a scary stock that moves a ton on low volume, congrats to all longs.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 19, 9:48 AM: 700 at 9.00

Nov 18, 2:25 PM: 800 at 8.01 – Sold roughly half my position just to lock in some gains along the way…might look to buy them back cheaper since this nice 15% spike isn’t the result of any news…I trade safely…when I can make 15% in a few days I take some profits off the table, still holding a small position though as I’m VERY excited about this company

Nov 12, 2:05 PM: Added 1500 at 7.13

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$1,785 profit MNDO; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Dip bought this earnings winner we talked about in the http://tim.ly/sykesmc webinar today, already down 25 cents/share off morning spike highs, if it can hold above 3.50, it should give me 20-40 cent/share upside. Exit comments: Big seller at 3.65 scared me out of most of my position, now 3.70 so my fears were unfounded, but I don’t trust slow moving stocks like this so I’m just gonna lock in safe profits as it hit my target…might re-buy though.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 19, 3:19 PM: 11000 at 3.66

Nov 19, 2:15 PM: Added 11000 at 3.48

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$1,453 profit MAGS; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Bought this earnings winner on a dip, goal is 20-40 cents/share on the bounce late today/early tomorrow, gotta see how it acts. Exit comments: Tried to bounce over afternoon resistance at 5.60 but no dice, gave it 3x to try and break and hold, but since it can’t I gotta play safe as now volume is fading again as momentum buyers not happy…some earnings winners just can’t bounce much, see TUBE, ICLD, gotta trade safely…still holding small http://tim.ly/timlong longterm position.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 20, 3:34 PM: 14000 at 5.56

Nov 20, 3:07 PM: Added 14000 at 5.45

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$1,542 profit MAGS; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Dip buying this earnings winner into morning panic, right at multi-year support at 5.10ish, small position though, speculative, goal is to make 20-40 cents/share. Exit comments: Got a nice breakout in the day high above 5.35 to 5.43 but no more, can’t hold failed breakouts…good idea though to dip buy earnings winners RIGHT at support, very low risk 20 cents/share profit, nothing huge but well executed.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 21, 10:30 AM: 8400 at 5.32

Nov 21, 10:15 AM: Added 2400 at 5.16 – Added to my position, nice 21k buyer at 5.15 now protecting 5.10 support…this doesn’t move fast, but I still think it can spike sometime today, low risk buying on such a big dip

Nov 21, 9:40 AM: Added 6000 at 5.12

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$1,920 profit MAGS; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Rebought this earnings winner on its bounce near day highs, still think this bounces 20-40 cents/share, not much risk buying now that its dropped for several days and is holding multi-year breakout at 5.10ish. Exit comments: Got a nice breakout above the mid-day high of 5.38 but then wall of sellers at 5.40ish, no thanks, I’ll re-buy on big dips, these earnings winners as of late are chopppppy, gotta play safe.

Partial Position Updates

Nov 24, 2:11 PM: 12000 at 5.36

Nov 24, 12:59 PM: Added 12000 at 5.20

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Don’t forget to check out previous roundups here:

September 2-September 5

September 8-September 12

September 15-September 19

September 22-September 26

September 29-October 3

October 6-October 10

October 13-October 17

October 20-October 24

October 27-October 31

November 3-Novermber 7

November 10-November 14

How low can oil go?

Nov 25, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Market, Profitly  //  Comments Off

crude

There has been no shortage of oil headlines recently, and for good reason. Prices have dropped to their lowest levels in 4 years, and commuters are seeing a noticeable different when filling up their cars at the gas station. We don’t focus on macro trends at Profit.ly, but that doesn’t mean we don’t look at them at all. When something as big as this happens, you have to pay attention.

Consider this, the average price of a gallon of gasoline is now about $2.90, the lowest since 2010, according to AAA. That’s down 78 cents from 2014’s $3.69 peak. With Americans spending roughly $1 billion a day on gasoline, several analysts and industry experts estimate that consumers will save roughly $8.4 billion in November and December, compared with the last two months of 2013, based on an average price for regular gasoline of about $2.89 a gallon as opposed to $3.23 last November and $3.26 last December. Just in time for the holiday shopping season. Retail sales were released last week and came in better than expected, increasing .3 percent vs analyst estimates of .2 precent. Walmart, which released third-quarter results Thursday, took note of the lower gas prices and credited them for a 0.5 percent gain in same-store sales. Analysts took note of the nation’s largest retailer’s results; that was their first quarterly sales gain since 2012. Some experts are predating gas prices could go as low as $2.79 by mid-December, again just in time for last minute holiday shopping. A survey released Friday by the National Association of Convenience Stores found 51 percent of men and 56 percent of those aged 18 to 34 say they are more likely to increase holiday spending.

The lower gas prices are also helping the average mood of consumers. Other data showed an improving jobs market and lower gasoline prices lifted consumer spirits in early November. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan sentiment index rose to 89.4, its highest level since July 2007.

The impact is especially significant for low- and middle-income Americans, who have been largely left behind by the slow economic recovery that began in 2009. Even as the job market has improved, most workers have received only modest wage increases. Median income remains roughly 5 percent below the peak it hit in 2007.

Take a look at this quote from a New York Times  story: “When oil prices fall, the benefit to consumers outweighs the loss to producers,” said Dean Maki, chief United States economist at Barclays. “Investment in oil and gas production is still less than 1 percent of gross domestic product. Consumer spending is 68.5 percent of G.D.P.”

Also from the Times is this: The typical American household buys 1,200 gallons annually, so if prices fall to the level Mr. Kloza predicts and stay there, that adds up to a yearly savings per household of at least $400. A 15 percent drop in the cost of home heating oil since last winter should also be helpful, especially as cold weather arrives in the Northeast. Barclays says this extra cash in wallets could help generate nearly half a percentage point in added economic growth in the fourth quarter, and roughly $70 billion more in consumer spending over the next year.

Analysts are all anxiously awaiting the next meeting out of OPEC, set for November 27. Many had believed the oil cartel would cut production much earlier, and this is their next chance to do so. That also lands on the Thanksgiving day holiday, so the thinly traded market could make for some wild swings, and that’s a big reason for even penny stock traders to watch it.

Other reasons that you should all be paying attention to this? The basic knowledge of staying up to date with what is going on in the economy and the rest of the world will help you in your trading. You get a sense of consumer’s moods, what events might trigger a big selloff, if there is more or less likelihood of earnings winners, and much more. Just because you aren’t trading Apple or Walmart doesn’t mean you can just ignore all of the big headlines.

It sounds like you’ll be paying attention to oil for awhile too. Listen to this: “We think lower gas prices in the U.S. are going to last for at least a year,” said Edward L. Morse, global head of commodities research at Citigroup told the New York Times. “Even if growth turns around globally, it would take two years of added demand around the world to move prices per barrel back to the mid-90s.”

Keep an eye on this story, it’s going to impact a lot of stocks in the weeks to come.

Weekly Roundup November 10-14

Nov 23, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly  //  Comments Off

Time for another weekly roundup! We’re approaching Thanksgiving, and remember that is a shortened trading week. There won’t be any trading in the stock market on Thursday the 27th and then it is a shortened session on the 28th.

First up we have Tim Sykes.

$2,458 profit on YOD; Short Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Shorting since despite buyout rumors, it’s sideways and just went red on the day and volume is fading fast, if/once it takes out 2.75-2.80 it could drop 20-40 cents/share which is my goal, tons of shares everywhere, be careful though since quasi-promoter Chardan still trying to prop this up as if it were Weekend At Bernie’s. Exit comments: Didn’t get absolute panic like I wanted, but still a good win overall, shorting a quasi-pump that has broken multi-day support…it probly goes lower, but I hate this penny game, I wanted big panic, no dice, so small gain.

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$3,796 profit on VGGL; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Buying on its latest push, trying to break to new highs, goal is to make 20-40 cents/share, it’s been holding its gains well all day. Exit comments: Had to exit one of my positions, trying to manage them all on this plane with spotty wifi is no bueno, nice earnings breakout, RESN still holding and VOIL coming down nicely.

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$2,779 profit on RESN; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Bought on the back of this Seeking Alpha article http://tim.ly/1v4kGZg small company working with massive Skyworks on revolutionary technology, admitted in a PR today from parent company, technology pretty much done, goal is to make 50-75 cents/share, nice holding near the highs, discovered just by looking through big % gainers, I’m on a plane right now too! Exit comments: Sold remaining short-term position, didn’t have legs the way I thought it did…sorry again it spiked 40-50 cents/share from my buy alert before I could even type out entire 1st buy alert, screwed up whole trade, but glad I warned people not to chase…thats the risk with low float stocks, tons of resistance up to 7, then bam, slight breakout and it hits an air pocket all the way to 7.50…I have to stick to more liquid names, but this has exciting story so I hold small longterm position still.

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$1,542 loss on VGGL; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Buying some into big late day dip, goal is to sell into bounce/ideally morning spike tomorrow for 30-50 cents/share. Exit comments: It hit 3.70 premarket today, but now trending in the wrong direction, even though it’s an earnings winner, its a shady stock with a nasty longterm downtrending chart, I play this EXTRA safe, just like my selling far too soon yesterday and remember its never held its spikes on the 2nd day, I just thought it could retest the high 3s before fading…it still might, but after yesterday’s big runup SAFETY FIRST. This is how you grow an account, bigger wins than losses like my 2 trades on VGGL.

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Then we have Superman.

$27,500 profit on BDR; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: SWING – DO NOT CHASE as may pull back before earnings ….. they reported Nov 14 last year…..did .06 last Q and hit 1.89 and said rest of year "We believe that as other recent product releases take hold we should be able to sustain the gains enjoyed in the second quarter for the remainder of the year." personal stop loss around $1 area band personal target $1.50 plus if moves into earnings or beats. Exit comments: may very well go higher and will watch chart but taking $25-$30k for being correct #SUPER.

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$4,657 profit on PLOW; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: TRADE / CHART – sells plows and had big earnings beat and raise for strong winter– polar vortex play..personal stop loss 4ema and personal target 23 plus if it works Exit comments: avg sale price…. SUPER WINNER !!!!! may go higher will watch chart.

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$3,692 profit on LITB; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: TRADE / SWING news with BIDU personal stop loss low 7’s and personal target 8 plus if works Exit comments: may go higher but wanted to see more momentum quicker with this news…will keep on watch…..have to protect profits in this tape.

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$3,490 loss on LITB; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: TRADE/SWING – back in on the IBD article AH saying $BIDU taking on $BABA with this….personal stop loss mid 7’s and personal target 9-10 plus if it gets more momentum….originally entered 7.35. http://news.investors.com/111014-725755-baidu-deal-with-lightinthebox-to-take-on-alibaba.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo. Exit comments: stopped out – had chance for profit or b/e ..may still work not for me anymore.

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Don’t forget to check out previous roundups here:

September 2-September 5

September 8-September 12

September 15-September 19

September 22-September 26

September 29-October 3

October 6-October 10

October 13-October 17

October 20-October 24

October 27-October 31

November 3-Novermber 7

Invest in your education, why trading DVDs are important

Nov 19, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly  //  Comments Off

We preach about trading education all the time here at Profit.ly. That’s not just because we are an educational site either. There is a reason people trade better when they get DVDs and invest in their education. Would you try to fly a plane without learning how to first? Of course not. People shouldn’t try to trade without learning before either. You are ultimately going to mess up and could possibly lose your whole account. It’s just not worth taking that risk, especially when trading volatile stocks like penny stocks. The money you spend on DVDs or subscription letters will look like pennies when you start making better trades and earn it all back.

Tandem Trader

Tandem Trader

One of the best DVDs we’ve ever had came from Investors Live, and he just launched another one called Tandem Trader. We love transparency here at profit.ly, so here are some of the reviews from his last DVD. Check out all 143 of them here.

Review 1:

I would recommend that InvestorsLive price this DVD smart. The goal shouldn’t be about making money off DVDs especially when you are a successful trader. If you price the item smart, you can sell more DVDs than you expect. You just have to think like infomercials. They make more money selling at a lower price then at a higher price. Other gurus have struggled to sell their DVDs for a number of years because they are not priced right.

Positives: The DVD is professionally produced. I like the music and special effects. I like how he is serious at times and then makes a few funny jokes with the mountain man. Also, most of the details of his trading technique are revealed with a lot of examples. Support is also excellent. If you don’t understand anything, InvestorsLive goes out of his way to help. He is not like other gurus that yell at you and tells you to pay them more for support. He also has webinars giving IU members an opportunity to ask questions.

Negatives: Some of the charts were hard to see (color issues) or too small to read. That needs to be improved. Some of the fine details of how he enters or exits a trade are missing. What exact time frame he’s using, Level 2 analysis etc… More Level 2 analysis is needed too. A couple examples of live trades would have been nice rather than snapshots of past events.

The DVD is excellent and I highly recommend it but realize his trading technique is mostly like an art form (discretionary trading) rather then a precise technical system (system trading).

4.5 to 5 stars. Just needs some minor fine tuning and needs to be priced right.

Review 2:

A must have for anyone looking to get into day trading

After reading many books on the subject, looking to break in to day trading this came recommended by a good friend who had become rapidly successful at trading. This made so many things clear to me that I had questions about.

Nate give the best descriptions on even the simple concepts like supply and demand that I have ever heard or read. He has nice, simple setups that he explains in depth. He gives you everything you will need to be successful, either on your own or if you decide to use his chat service…..which I also recommend highly. I have seen first hand my friend and others become very successful with the help of this DVD and I am well on my way myself. I am now on my 3rd or 4th time through and still picking things up. Its just that good. I felt like before I was in elementary school with my trading education and after viewing this I felt like I had moved right through college.

Review 3:

Just get it. If you are serious & want to expand your trading knowledge, this DVD is the BEST investment for your education. 8 hours, full of charts, patterns, examples, advice, you name it. There is not a DVD out there topping this one.

Not gonna go full depth, listen to everybody, this DVD helped me start trading for myself instead of following others. JUST GET IT.

Review 4:

Best Trading DVD Hands Down

Not only does this DVD provide every aspect of how to be profitable, but Nate does a great job of teaching and explaining everything he is going over, both verbally & visually. He will teach you his pre-market routine and what you should be doing pre-trade, during the trade and post trade. He explains the entire process all the way down to who to follow on Twitter & how to build a watchlist. It doesn’t matter what your level of experience is, everybody can learn something from this DVD. The one thing I was reluctant about was the price, try and catch it on a sale around holidays.

Review 5:

Must read for newbies and veterans both

The layout of the dvd is great and has a logical flow to it .

The dvd does not assume that you have any prior knowledge of trading and treats the subject upto a decent depth. Plenty of examples to explain each critical step . That makes it a must have for newbies and veterans both. If you get one trade right you could make back all the money that you paid for the dvd in one trade.

Must have if you are a beginner and looking for a no fat training guide.

Weekly Roundup November 3-7

Nov 12, 2014   //   by Profitly   //   Profitly, Profitly Weekly  //  Comments Off

The last week of October may have been slow, but our gurus are quickly making up for it in November.

Let’s start out with Tim.

$1,852 profit on IDN; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Bought this earnings winner on big dip, conference call said nothing, lots of longterm people disappointed, but #s were good as was the initial spike this morning over 5, goal is to make 30-50 cents/share since I’m buying on such a big dip. Exit comments: Got a decent bounce but nothing much more, now wall of sellers at 4.45ish…profit ENTIRELY due to my perfect entry buying an earnings winner into panic, video lesson coming later.

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$1,890 profit on ODP; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Bought this earnings winner on dip, should have support at 6, goal is to sell for 20-40 cents/share gain on the bounce. Exit comments: Nice little bounce now 6.30 so I played it a bit too safe, but not sure if it can go green on the day so I take safe profits…these non-volatile stocks scare me…not a huge trade, but easy $/low risk I’ll take it.

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$2,056 profit on EKSO; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Breaking out of multi-month base on the back of this paid for research report http://tim.ly/1wCmOH4 still competitor RWLK is much higher priced and earnings after the close Tuesday could surprise, I WILL NOT HOLD THROUGH EARNINGS…this is a speculative buy based on chart/pump research, goal is 15-25 cents/share, could happen since it’s a former runner on slow Friday. Exit comments: Got up to 1.74 but I wasn’t prepared, now on the phone doing interview with Inc magazine, tough time trying to trade and live my crazy life, I’ll take $2k profit, potential re-buy later today, volume fading a bit but mainly I can’t concentrate and trade and do an inteview at same time.

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$1,050 loss on PLNR; Long Stock by Timothy Sykes.

Entry comments: Late day breakout on this earnings winner, goal is 20-40 cents/share. Exit comments: No dice, can’t hold green on the day, not a good sign if it was gonna squeeze big into the market close, cut losses quickly.

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Then we have Superman.

$19,700 profit on HKTV; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: TRADE / SWING personal stop loss 9.5 area and personal target 10-10.50 plus if it works……go to website to see what they do but Hong Kong online content and mall ( reason why YOD moving) http://www.hktv.com.hk. Exit comments: may go higher but $20,000 overnight SUPER TRADE !!!!!

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$1,610 loss on CALA; Long Stock by Super Trades.

Entry comments: SWING recent IPO priced at 10 was supposed to price 13-15 but bad markets…Cramer compared to AGIO which has been a big IPO..personal stop loss 4ema and personal target 11-15 plus if it works. Exit comments: out about flat will revisit based on chart.

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Don’t forget to check out previous roundups here:

September 2-September 5

September 8-September 12

September 15-September 19

September 22-September 26

September 29-October 3

October 6-October 10

October 13-October 17

October 20-October 24

October 27-October 31

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